Recent model consensus from sources including the GFS and regional forecasts points to a Shanghai minimum temperature on September 7 in the 22–24°C range, supporting the close market-implied odds between 23°C and 24°C. Northerly flow behind a weak frontal passage is expected to limit overnight radiative cooling while maintaining moderate humidity levels near 70–80%, preventing sharper drops below 22°C. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima of 20–23°C under similar post-rain, northerly regimes, with limited model spread on this short-range outlook reducing uncertainty for the 24-hour period. Updated runs ahead of the overnight hours will refine any adjustments from evolving cloud cover or wind shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 7 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 7 сентября?
23°C 52%
24°C 31%
27°C 20%
21°C 18%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
8%
20°C
15%
21°C
18%
22°C
8%
23°C
37%
24°C
33%
25°C
16%
26°C
12%
27°C
20%
28°C
2%
29°C или выше
8%
23°C 52%
24°C 31%
27°C 20%
21°C 18%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
$0 Объем
8%
20°C
$0 Объем
15%
21°C
$0 Объем
18%
22°C
$202 Объем
8%
23°C
$26 Объем
37%
24°C
$52 Объем
33%
25°C
$38 Объем
16%
26°C
$31 Объем
12%
27°C
$0 Объем
20%
28°C
$0 Объем
2%
29°C или выше
$0 Объем
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the GFS and regional forecasts points to a Shanghai minimum temperature on September 7 in the 22–24°C range, supporting the close market-implied odds between 23°C and 24°C. Northerly flow behind a weak frontal passage is expected to limit overnight radiative cooling while maintaining moderate humidity levels near 70–80%, preventing sharper drops below 22°C. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima of 20–23°C under similar post-rain, northerly regimes, with limited model spread on this short-range outlook reducing uncertainty for the 24-hour period. Updated runs ahead of the overnight hours will refine any adjustments from evolving cloud cover or wind shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$350Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the GFS and regional forecasts points to a Shanghai minimum temperature on September 7 in the 22–24°C range, supporting the close market-implied odds between 23°C and 24°C. Northerly flow behind a weak frontal passage is expected to limit overnight radiative cooling while maintaining moderate humidity levels near 70–80%, preventing sharper drops below 22°C. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima of 20–23°C under similar post-rain, northerly regimes, with limited model spread on this short-range outlook reducing uncertainty for the 24-hour period. Updated runs ahead of the overnight hours will refine any adjustments from evolving cloud cover or wind shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$350Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the GFS and regional forecasts points to a Shanghai minimum temperature on September 7 in the 22–24°C range, supporting the close market-implied odds between 23°C and 24°C. Northerly flow behind a weak frontal passage is expected to limit overnight radiative cooling while maintaining moderate humidity levels near 70–80%, preventing sharper drops below 22°C. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima of 20–23°C under similar post-rain, northerly regimes, with limited model spread on this short-range outlook reducing uncertainty for the 24-hour period. Updated runs ahead of the overnight hours will refine any adjustments from evolving cloud cover or wind shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы