**Stable atmospheric conditions and model consensus support the market's overwhelming 98.6% implied probability for a 20°C low in Seoul/Incheon on September 6.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources aligned with NOAA and regional models indicate clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and overnight radiative cooling under high pressure, producing minimum temperatures of 19–20°C— squarely in the expected range for early September climatology. This positioning reflects real-time observational data and short-range model agreement showing no incoming cold air advection or precipitation to drive further drops. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloud cover or a rapid wind shift, though current guidance places low odds on such developments before the daily minimum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 6 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 6 сентября?
20°C 98.6%
19°C 1.5%
14°C или ниже <1%
15°C <1%
$11,460 Объем
$11,460 Объем
6 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C или выше
<1%
20°C 98.6%
19°C 1.5%
14°C или ниже <1%
15°C <1%
$11,460 Объем
$11,460 Объем
6 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
$74 Объем
<1%
15°C
$165 Объем
<1%
16°C
$180 Объем
<1%
17°C
$160 Объем
<1%
18°C
$711 Объем
<1%
19°C
$1,323 Объем
2%
20°C
$2,747 Объем
99%
21°C
$5,573 Объем
<1%
22°C
$180 Объем
<1%
23°C
$166 Объем
<1%
24°C или выше
$180 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable atmospheric conditions and model consensus support the market's overwhelming 98.6% implied probability for a 20°C low in Seoul/Incheon on September 6.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources aligned with NOAA and regional models indicate clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and overnight radiative cooling under high pressure, producing minimum temperatures of 19–20°C— squarely in the expected range for early September climatology. This positioning reflects real-time observational data and short-range model agreement showing no incoming cold air advection or precipitation to drive further drops. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloud cover or a rapid wind shift, though current guidance places low odds on such developments before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$11,460Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable atmospheric conditions and model consensus support the market's overwhelming 98.6% implied probability for a 20°C low in Seoul/Incheon on September 6.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources aligned with NOAA and regional models indicate clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and overnight radiative cooling under high pressure, producing minimum temperatures of 19–20°C— squarely in the expected range for early September climatology. This positioning reflects real-time observational data and short-range model agreement showing no incoming cold air advection or precipitation to drive further drops. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloud cover or a rapid wind shift, though current guidance places low odds on such developments before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$11,460Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Stable atmospheric conditions and model consensus support the market's overwhelming 98.6% implied probability for a 20°C low in Seoul/Incheon on September 6.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources aligned with NOAA and regional models indicate clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and overnight radiative cooling under high pressure, producing minimum temperatures of 19–20°C— squarely in the expected range for early September climatology. This positioning reflects real-time observational data and short-range model agreement showing no incoming cold air advection or precipitation to drive further drops. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in cloud cover or a rapid wind shift, though current guidance places low odds on such developments before the daily minimum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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