Recent atmospheric conditions driven by persistent subtropical high pressure have sustained clear to partly cloudy skies over the Sichuan Basin, enabling strong solar insolation and daytime heating consistent with recent highs of 33–35°C. Official and ensemble forecasts for September 6 center on 32–35°C maxima, with limited cloud cover and light winds limiting cooling; this aligns with the market-implied 45.5% probability on 35°C and 28.5% on 34°C as the dominant outcomes. A shift toward increased moisture and a weak cold-air intrusion is projected after September 8, but remains outside the resolution window. Historical early-September climatology in Chengdu shows frequent “autumn tiger” episodes with similar peaks before the onset of Huaxi autumn rains.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 6 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чэнду 6 сентября?
35°C 45%
34°C 29%
36°C 15%
33°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
11%
34°C
29%
35°C
45%
36°C
15%
37°C или выше
1%
35°C 45%
34°C 29%
36°C 15%
33°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
$325 Объем
<1%
28°C
$335 Объем
<1%
29°C
$460 Объем
<1%
30°C
$822 Объем
<1%
31°C
$548 Объем
2%
32°C
$295 Объем
5%
33°C
$433 Объем
11%
34°C
$1,452 Объем
29%
35°C
$2,620 Объем
45%
36°C
$1,157 Объем
15%
37°C или выше
$904 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions driven by persistent subtropical high pressure have sustained clear to partly cloudy skies over the Sichuan Basin, enabling strong solar insolation and daytime heating consistent with recent highs of 33–35°C. Official and ensemble forecasts for September 6 center on 32–35°C maxima, with limited cloud cover and light winds limiting cooling; this aligns with the market-implied 45.5% probability on 35°C and 28.5% on 34°C as the dominant outcomes. A shift toward increased moisture and a weak cold-air intrusion is projected after September 8, but remains outside the resolution window. Historical early-September climatology in Chengdu shows frequent “autumn tiger” episodes with similar peaks before the onset of Huaxi autumn rains.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$9,352Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions driven by persistent subtropical high pressure have sustained clear to partly cloudy skies over the Sichuan Basin, enabling strong solar insolation and daytime heating consistent with recent highs of 33–35°C. Official and ensemble forecasts for September 6 center on 32–35°C maxima, with limited cloud cover and light winds limiting cooling; this aligns with the market-implied 45.5% probability on 35°C and 28.5% on 34°C as the dominant outcomes. A shift toward increased moisture and a weak cold-air intrusion is projected after September 8, but remains outside the resolution window. Historical early-September climatology in Chengdu shows frequent “autumn tiger” episodes with similar peaks before the onset of Huaxi autumn rains.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$9,352Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent atmospheric conditions driven by persistent subtropical high pressure have sustained clear to partly cloudy skies over the Sichuan Basin, enabling strong solar insolation and daytime heating consistent with recent highs of 33–35°C. Official and ensemble forecasts for September 6 center on 32–35°C maxima, with limited cloud cover and light winds limiting cooling; this aligns with the market-implied 45.5% probability on 35°C and 28.5% on 34°C as the dominant outcomes. A shift toward increased moisture and a weak cold-air intrusion is projected after September 8, but remains outside the resolution window. Historical early-September climatology in Chengdu shows frequent “autumn tiger” episodes with similar peaks before the onset of Huaxi autumn rains.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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