Current forecasts from multiple models place the overnight minimum for Incheon on September 6 near 19–21 °C under clear to mostly clear skies, light northeast winds, and dew points around 17–18 °C that limit further radiative cooling. This narrow band explains the market’s tight clustering, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 20 °C and 21 °C while discounting lower outcomes. Minor differences among runs hinge on exact cloud cover and wind timing overnight; official KMA and airport observations will determine the recorded low. Historical September minima in the region average near 18 °C, providing context for the current elevated baseline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 6 сентября?
20°C 43%
21°C 38%
19°C 20%
18°C 5%
14°C или ниже
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
5%
19°C
20%
20°C
43%
21°C
38%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C или выше
1%
20°C 43%
21°C 38%
19°C 20%
18°C 5%
14°C или ниже
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
5%
19°C
20%
20°C
43%
21°C
38%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models place the overnight minimum for Incheon on September 6 near 19–21 °C under clear to mostly clear skies, light northeast winds, and dew points around 17–18 °C that limit further radiative cooling. This narrow band explains the market’s tight clustering, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 20 °C and 21 °C while discounting lower outcomes. Minor differences among runs hinge on exact cloud cover and wind timing overnight; official KMA and airport observations will determine the recorded low. Historical September minima in the region average near 18 °C, providing context for the current elevated baseline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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