Current forecast models, including GFS runs and guidance from French meteorological sources, indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C in Paris on September 13, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Hourly data show morning lows stabilizing around 15–18°C before daytime warming, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September. This consensus underpins the market-implied 96.5% probability for 17°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold air intrusion or localized measurement variance at official stations, though model agreement and current observations make significant downward revision unlikely before final daily readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 13 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 13 сентября?
17°C 96%
16°C 4%
15°C 3%
9°C или ниже 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
4%
17°C
90%
18°C
<1%
19°C или выше
<1%
17°C 96%
16°C 4%
15°C 3%
9°C или ниже 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$51 Объем
2%
10°C
$0 Объем
2%
11°C
$0 Объем
2%
12°C
$636 Объем
2%
13°C
$1,212 Объем
2%
14°C
$1,677 Объем
2%
15°C
$1,069 Объем
3%
16°C
$940 Объем
4%
17°C
$1,198 Объем
90%
18°C
$0 Объем
<1%
19°C или выше
$0 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs and guidance from French meteorological sources, indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C in Paris on September 13, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Hourly data show morning lows stabilizing around 15–18°C before daytime warming, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September. This consensus underpins the market-implied 96.5% probability for 17°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold air intrusion or localized measurement variance at official stations, though model agreement and current observations make significant downward revision unlikely before final daily readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$6,781Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs and guidance from French meteorological sources, indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C in Paris on September 13, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Hourly data show morning lows stabilizing around 15–18°C before daytime warming, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September. This consensus underpins the market-implied 96.5% probability for 17°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold air intrusion or localized measurement variance at official stations, though model agreement and current observations make significant downward revision unlikely before final daily readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,781Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models, including GFS runs and guidance from French meteorological sources, indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C in Paris on September 13, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Hourly data show morning lows stabilizing around 15–18°C before daytime warming, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September. This consensus underpins the market-implied 96.5% probability for 17°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold air intrusion or localized measurement variance at official stations, though model agreement and current observations make significant downward revision unlikely before final daily readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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