**Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance position overnight lows for Miami on September 6 in the upper 70s to low 80s, aligning closely with the market’s leading bins around 78–79°F.** Persistent warm, humid air with dew points near 77–79°F, combined with scattered showers and thunderstorms, limits overnight radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Light variable to southerly winds further suppress temperature drops, consistent with early-September climatology where Miami’s average daily lows hover near 76–78°F. Recent observations show a warming trend, with recorded lows rising from 75°F on September 1 to 78°F on September 4, and current model consensus (including NWS point forecasts) shows no cold-air intrusion or clear-sky setup that would drive readings into the mid-70s or below. The 80–81°F bin receives secondary support if cloud cover and moisture remain elevated. Traders appear to weigh the high-confidence official forecast against minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any evening convection, keeping implied probabilities concentrated in the narrow 76–81°F range ahead of tomorrow night’s observation at Miami International Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Майами 6 сентября?
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 27%
74-75°F 24%
80-81°F 18%
71°F или ниже
15%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90°F или выше
1%
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 27%
74-75°F 24%
80-81°F 18%
71°F или ниже
15%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90°F или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Recent National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance position overnight lows for Miami on September 6 in the upper 70s to low 80s, aligning closely with the market’s leading bins around 78–79°F.** Persistent warm, humid air with dew points near 77–79°F, combined with scattered showers and thunderstorms, limits overnight radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Light variable to southerly winds further suppress temperature drops, consistent with early-September climatology where Miami’s average daily lows hover near 76–78°F. Recent observations show a warming trend, with recorded lows rising from 75°F on September 1 to 78°F on September 4, and current model consensus (including NWS point forecasts) shows no cold-air intrusion or clear-sky setup that would drive readings into the mid-70s or below. The 80–81°F bin receives secondary support if cloud cover and moisture remain elevated. Traders appear to weigh the high-confidence official forecast against minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any evening convection, keeping implied probabilities concentrated in the narrow 76–81°F range ahead of tomorrow night’s observation at Miami International Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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