Ongoing southwest monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh maintain extensive cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered to heavy rainfall across Lucknow, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 25–26°C. Official forecasts from agencies project a September 6 low around 25°C under mostly cloudy skies with thunderstorms, consistent with seasonal averages where monsoon moisture prevents drops below 24°C. Trader consensus clusters at 26°C as the mode outcome, with near-even probabilities for 31°C+ or 21°C or below reflecting model divergence on rainfall timing and intensity that could either sustain warmth or allow brief clearer periods for greater cooling. Updated IMD guidance and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лакхнау 6 сентября?
21°C или ниже 69%
31°C или выше 67%
26°C 52%
27°C 50%
21°C или ниже
69%
22°C
7%
23°C
45%
24°C
24%
25°C
24%
26°C
38%
27°C
50%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C или выше
67%
21°C или ниже 69%
31°C или выше 67%
26°C 52%
27°C 50%
21°C или ниже
69%
22°C
7%
23°C
45%
24°C
24%
25°C
24%
26°C
38%
27°C
50%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C или выше
67%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing southwest monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh maintain extensive cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered to heavy rainfall across Lucknow, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 25–26°C. Official forecasts from agencies project a September 6 low around 25°C under mostly cloudy skies with thunderstorms, consistent with seasonal averages where monsoon moisture prevents drops below 24°C. Trader consensus clusters at 26°C as the mode outcome, with near-even probabilities for 31°C+ or 21°C or below reflecting model divergence on rainfall timing and intensity that could either sustain warmth or allow brief clearer periods for greater cooling. Updated IMD guidance and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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