Strong model consensus from major forecasting agencies, including updated runs showing clear skies and light winds favoring radiative cooling overnight, underpins the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on a 16°C minimum in Jinan for September 5. Official observations through early morning align with this threshold, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nocturnal lows often settle near or slightly below seasonal averages under stable high-pressure conditions. Trader positioning reflects real-time integration of surface data, ensemble guidance, and historical analogs rather than any single projection. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger northeasterly flow, or station-specific measurement variance could still shift the final recorded low, though such deviations appear unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Цзинане 5 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Цзинане 5 сентября?
16°C 99.4%
12°C или ниже 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
99%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C или выше
<1%
16°C 99.4%
12°C или ниже 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$57 Объем
1%
13°C
$57 Объем
1%
14°C
$57 Объем
1%
15°C
$97 Объем
1%
16°C
$630 Объем
99%
17°C
$265 Объем
<1%
18°C
$450 Объем
1%
19°C
$65 Объем
<1%
20°C
$55 Объем
<1%
21°C
$55 Объем
<1%
22°C или выше
$55 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from major forecasting agencies, including updated runs showing clear skies and light winds favoring radiative cooling overnight, underpins the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on a 16°C minimum in Jinan for September 5. Official observations through early morning align with this threshold, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nocturnal lows often settle near or slightly below seasonal averages under stable high-pressure conditions. Trader positioning reflects real-time integration of surface data, ensemble guidance, and historical analogs rather than any single projection. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger northeasterly flow, or station-specific measurement variance could still shift the final recorded low, though such deviations appear unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$1,843Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from major forecasting agencies, including updated runs showing clear skies and light winds favoring radiative cooling overnight, underpins the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on a 16°C minimum in Jinan for September 5. Official observations through early morning align with this threshold, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nocturnal lows often settle near or slightly below seasonal averages under stable high-pressure conditions. Trader positioning reflects real-time integration of surface data, ensemble guidance, and historical analogs rather than any single projection. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger northeasterly flow, or station-specific measurement variance could still shift the final recorded low, though such deviations appear unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,843Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Strong model consensus from major forecasting agencies, including updated runs showing clear skies and light winds favoring radiative cooling overnight, underpins the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on a 16°C minimum in Jinan for September 5. Official observations through early morning align with this threshold, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nocturnal lows often settle near or slightly below seasonal averages under stable high-pressure conditions. Trader positioning reflects real-time integration of surface data, ensemble guidance, and historical analogs rather than any single projection. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger northeasterly flow, or station-specific measurement variance could still shift the final recorded low, though such deviations appear unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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