Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate Jinan overnight lows of 24–27°C on August 24, 2026, driven by a persistent warm air mass, high humidity, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible thundery showers. This aligns with August climatology showing average lows near 23°C and above-normal temperatures observed so far this month (+1.8–1.9°C departure). The market's leading 55.5% implied probability on 22°C or higher reflects this model consensus, while lower outcomes like 19°C (25%) would require stronger-than-expected cooling from unexpected clear skies or a shift in steering patterns. Updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution will be key.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Цзинане 24 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Цзинане 24 августа?
19°C 50%
21°C 49%
20°C 45%
15°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
1%
15°C
7%
16°C
7%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
50%
20°C
45%
21°C
49%
22°C или выше
57%
19°C 50%
21°C 49%
20°C 45%
15°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$241 Объем
1%
13°C
$76 Объем
5%
14°C
$228 Объем
1%
15°C
$140 Объем
7%
16°C
$339 Объем
7%
17°C
$165 Объем
1%
18°C
$165 Объем
1%
19°C
$10 Объем
50%
20°C
$140 Объем
45%
21°C
$140 Объем
49%
22°C или выше
$258 Объем
57%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate Jinan overnight lows of 24–27°C on August 24, 2026, driven by a persistent warm air mass, high humidity, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible thundery showers. This aligns with August climatology showing average lows near 23°C and above-normal temperatures observed so far this month (+1.8–1.9°C departure). The market's leading 55.5% implied probability on 22°C or higher reflects this model consensus, while lower outcomes like 19°C (25%) would require stronger-than-expected cooling from unexpected clear skies or a shift in steering patterns. Updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution will be key.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$1,902Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate Jinan overnight lows of 24–27°C on August 24, 2026, driven by a persistent warm air mass, high humidity, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible thundery showers. This aligns with August climatology showing average lows near 23°C and above-normal temperatures observed so far this month (+1.8–1.9°C departure). The market's leading 55.5% implied probability on 22°C or higher reflects this model consensus, while lower outcomes like 19°C (25%) would require stronger-than-expected cooling from unexpected clear skies or a shift in steering patterns. Updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution will be key.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,902Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate Jinan overnight lows of 24–27°C on August 24, 2026, driven by a persistent warm air mass, high humidity, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible thundery showers. This aligns with August climatology showing average lows near 23°C and above-normal temperatures observed so far this month (+1.8–1.9°C departure). The market's leading 55.5% implied probability on 22°C or higher reflects this model consensus, while lower outcomes like 19°C (25%) would require stronger-than-expected cooling from unexpected clear skies or a shift in steering patterns. Updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution will be key.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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