Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services converge on an overnight low near 20–21°C for Chongqing on September 14, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. Recent model runs show limited cooling from increased cloud cover and scattered showers, keeping minimums above the 16–19°C thresholds that would require stronger advection or clearer radiative cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–21°C captures residual uncertainty in exact timing of the daily minimum and local microclimate effects near official stations, while lower-probability outcomes below 17°C remain inconsistent with observed trends and ensemble guidance. Updated forecasts and real-time station data will refine resolution as the day progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чунцине 14 сентября?
16°C или ниже 92%
17°C 92%
18°C 92%
19°C 92%
16°C или ниже
92%
17°C
92%
18°C
92%
19°C
92%
20°C
46%
21°C
49%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
<1%
16°C или ниже 92%
17°C 92%
18°C 92%
19°C 92%
16°C или ниже
92%
17°C
92%
18°C
92%
19°C
92%
20°C
46%
21°C
49%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services converge on an overnight low near 20–21°C for Chongqing on September 14, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. Recent model runs show limited cooling from increased cloud cover and scattered showers, keeping minimums above the 16–19°C thresholds that would require stronger advection or clearer radiative cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–21°C captures residual uncertainty in exact timing of the daily minimum and local microclimate effects near official stations, while lower-probability outcomes below 17°C remain inconsistent with observed trends and ensemble guidance. Updated forecasts and real-time station data will refine resolution as the day progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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