**Clear skies and light southerly winds under a high-pressure ridge are supporting a peak temperature near 27–28 °C for Beijing on September 14, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 40 % for 27 °C and 43.5 % for 28 °C.** Recent model runs from GFS and other guidance show daytime heating under mostly sunny conditions with dew points in the upper 30s °F, promoting efficient insolation but limited moisture for cloud development. Historical September 14 averages sit at 26.7 °C, so the current setup favors a modest positive anomaly. Subtle differences between the leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of maximum heating and any minor afternoon wind shifts that could cap or extend the peak by 1 °C. Updated official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles expected later today will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пекине 14 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Пекине 14 сентября?
28°C 44%
27°C 41%
26°C 10%
29°C 8%
НОВОЕ
$16,756 Объем
НОВОЕ
$16,756 Объем
14 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
10%
27°C
41%
28°C
44%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C или выше
<1%
28°C 44%
27°C 41%
26°C 10%
29°C 8%
НОВОЕ
$16,756 Объем
НОВОЕ
$16,756 Объем
14 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$253 Объем
<1%
22°C
$252 Объем
<1%
23°C
$253 Объем
<1%
24°C
$252 Объем
<1%
25°C
$1,185 Объем
1%
26°C
$2,085 Объем
10%
27°C
$4,030 Объем
41%
28°C
$3,872 Объем
44%
29°C
$2,939 Объем
8%
30°C
$1,170 Объем
2%
31°C или выше
$465 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light southerly winds under a high-pressure ridge are supporting a peak temperature near 27–28 °C for Beijing on September 14, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 40 % for 27 °C and 43.5 % for 28 °C.** Recent model runs from GFS and other guidance show daytime heating under mostly sunny conditions with dew points in the upper 30s °F, promoting efficient insolation but limited moisture for cloud development. Historical September 14 averages sit at 26.7 °C, so the current setup favors a modest positive anomaly. Subtle differences between the leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of maximum heating and any minor afternoon wind shifts that could cap or extend the peak by 1 °C. Updated official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles expected later today will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$16,756Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light southerly winds under a high-pressure ridge are supporting a peak temperature near 27–28 °C for Beijing on September 14, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 40 % for 27 °C and 43.5 % for 28 °C.** Recent model runs from GFS and other guidance show daytime heating under mostly sunny conditions with dew points in the upper 30s °F, promoting efficient insolation but limited moisture for cloud development. Historical September 14 averages sit at 26.7 °C, so the current setup favors a modest positive anomaly. Subtle differences between the leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of maximum heating and any minor afternoon wind shifts that could cap or extend the peak by 1 °C. Updated official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles expected later today will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$16,756Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and light southerly winds under a high-pressure ridge are supporting a peak temperature near 27–28 °C for Beijing on September 14, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds of 40 % for 27 °C and 43.5 % for 28 °C.** Recent model runs from GFS and other guidance show daytime heating under mostly sunny conditions with dew points in the upper 30s °F, promoting efficient insolation but limited moisture for cloud development. Historical September 14 averages sit at 26.7 °C, so the current setup favors a modest positive anomaly. Subtle differences between the leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of maximum heating and any minor afternoon wind shifts that could cap or extend the peak by 1 °C. Updated official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles expected later today will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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