**Trader consensus strongly favors a lowest temperature of 21°C in Chengdu on September 5, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects the latest numerical weather prediction models and observational data showing clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and radiative cooling under typical early-September subtropical high-pressure influence. Official forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles consistently project overnight lows near 23°C, with the precise 21°C outcome aligning closely once rounding, station-specific measurements, and microclimate effects at standard urban reporting sites are considered. Historical climatology for the period places average September minimums in the low 20s°C, supporting the tight clustering around this value. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover or humidity that reduce nocturnal heat loss, a sudden wind shift advecting warmer air from surrounding terrain, or revisions in final verified station readings from the primary reporting network. With the market nearing resolution, any late-model updates or real-time observational shifts would be the key variables to monitor.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чэнду 5 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 5 сентября?
21°C 99.5%
19°C <1%
18°C или ниже <1%
20°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C или выше
<1%
21°C 99.5%
19°C <1%
18°C или ниже <1%
20°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$57 Объем
1%
19°C
$67 Объем
1%
20°C
$32 Объем
<1%
21°C
$631 Объем
100%
22°C
$186 Объем
<1%
23°C
$1,720 Объем
<1%
24°C
$2,923 Объем
<1%
25°C
$45 Объем
<1%
26°C
$40 Объем
<1%
27°C
$45 Объем
<1%
28°C или выше
$1,038 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a lowest temperature of 21°C in Chengdu on September 5, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects the latest numerical weather prediction models and observational data showing clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and radiative cooling under typical early-September subtropical high-pressure influence. Official forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles consistently project overnight lows near 23°C, with the precise 21°C outcome aligning closely once rounding, station-specific measurements, and microclimate effects at standard urban reporting sites are considered. Historical climatology for the period places average September minimums in the low 20s°C, supporting the tight clustering around this value.
Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover or humidity that reduce nocturnal heat loss, a sudden wind shift advecting warmer air from surrounding terrain, or revisions in final verified station readings from the primary reporting network. With the market nearing resolution, any late-model updates or real-time observational shifts would be the key variables to monitor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$6,783Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a lowest temperature of 21°C in Chengdu on September 5, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects the latest numerical weather prediction models and observational data showing clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and radiative cooling under typical early-September subtropical high-pressure influence. Official forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles consistently project overnight lows near 23°C, with the precise 21°C outcome aligning closely once rounding, station-specific measurements, and microclimate effects at standard urban reporting sites are considered. Historical climatology for the period places average September minimums in the low 20s°C, supporting the tight clustering around this value.
Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover or humidity that reduce nocturnal heat loss, a sudden wind shift advecting warmer air from surrounding terrain, or revisions in final verified station readings from the primary reporting network. With the market nearing resolution, any late-model updates or real-time observational shifts would be the key variables to monitor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,783Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a lowest temperature of 21°C in Chengdu on September 5, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects the latest numerical weather prediction models and observational data showing clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and radiative cooling under typical early-September subtropical high-pressure influence. Official forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles consistently project overnight lows near 23°C, with the precise 21°C outcome aligning closely once rounding, station-specific measurements, and microclimate effects at standard urban reporting sites are considered. Historical climatology for the period places average September minimums in the low 20s°C, supporting the tight clustering around this value. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover or humidity that reduce nocturnal heat loss, a sudden wind shift advecting warmer air from surrounding terrain, or revisions in final verified station readings from the primary reporting network. With the market nearing resolution, any late-model updates or real-time observational shifts would be the key variables to monitor.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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