A strengthening low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary are driving trader focus for Cape Town’s September 14 minimum, with models showing widespread cloud cover, northerly winds gusting to 20–30 km/h, and periods of rain or showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Forecast consensus from multiple sources places the overnight low near 14–15 °C, yet the spread in implied probabilities reflects uncertainty in exact wind shift timing, rainfall duration, and how much mild maritime air mixes in versus cooler continental flow. Stronger or more persistent onshore winds could hold temperatures above 15 °C, while clearer breaks or a sharper cold-air intrusion might allow readings closer to 13 °C or the lower tail priced at 31 %. Updated model runs and local observations through the night will be the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Кейптауне 14 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Кейптауне 14 сентября?
10°C или ниже 70%
12°C 39%
18°C 39%
14°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
70%
11°C
18%
12°C
39%
13°C
25%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C
20%
17°C
8%
18°C
39%
19°C
17%
20°C или выше
1%
10°C или ниже 70%
12°C 39%
18°C 39%
14°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
$0 Объем
70%
11°C
$0 Объем
18%
12°C
$0 Объем
39%
13°C
$0 Объем
25%
14°C
$0 Объем
27%
15°C
$206 Объем
25%
16°C
$0 Объем
20%
17°C
$0 Объем
8%
18°C
$0 Объем
39%
19°C
$0 Объем
17%
20°C или выше
$40 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary are driving trader focus for Cape Town’s September 14 minimum, with models showing widespread cloud cover, northerly winds gusting to 20–30 km/h, and periods of rain or showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Forecast consensus from multiple sources places the overnight low near 14–15 °C, yet the spread in implied probabilities reflects uncertainty in exact wind shift timing, rainfall duration, and how much mild maritime air mixes in versus cooler continental flow. Stronger or more persistent onshore winds could hold temperatures above 15 °C, while clearer breaks or a sharper cold-air intrusion might allow readings closer to 13 °C or the lower tail priced at 31 %. Updated model runs and local observations through the night will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$246Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary are driving trader focus for Cape Town’s September 14 minimum, with models showing widespread cloud cover, northerly winds gusting to 20–30 km/h, and periods of rain or showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Forecast consensus from multiple sources places the overnight low near 14–15 °C, yet the spread in implied probabilities reflects uncertainty in exact wind shift timing, rainfall duration, and how much mild maritime air mixes in versus cooler continental flow. Stronger or more persistent onshore winds could hold temperatures above 15 °C, while clearer breaks or a sharper cold-air intrusion might allow readings closer to 13 °C or the lower tail priced at 31 %. Updated model runs and local observations through the night will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$246Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...A strengthening low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary are driving trader focus for Cape Town’s September 14 minimum, with models showing widespread cloud cover, northerly winds gusting to 20–30 km/h, and periods of rain or showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Forecast consensus from multiple sources places the overnight low near 14–15 °C, yet the spread in implied probabilities reflects uncertainty in exact wind shift timing, rainfall duration, and how much mild maritime air mixes in versus cooler continental flow. Stronger or more persistent onshore winds could hold temperatures above 15 °C, while clearer breaks or a sharper cold-air intrusion might allow readings closer to 13 °C or the lower tail priced at 31 %. Updated model runs and local observations through the night will be the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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