Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin peg the daily minimum temperature on September 5 near 76°F, driven by southerly flow, dew points in the mid-70s, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 70.8°F for the date. Minor differences among high-resolution runs and local station observations—cloud cover timing, wind gusts near 5 mph, and exact boundary-layer mixing—create the tight spread traders have priced across the 68–75°F bins. With the low likely occurring in the pre-dawn hours and official resolution tied to airport or NWS data, any late downward revision in guidance or localized cooling could shift probabilities within the narrow 45–55% range now implied by the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Остине 5 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Остине 5 сентября?
68-69°F 58%
67°F или ниже 43%
72-73°F 34%
70-71°F 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 сент. 2026 г.
67°F или ниже
43%
68-69°F
58%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
34%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80–81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F или выше
<1%
68-69°F 58%
67°F или ниже 43%
72-73°F 34%
70-71°F 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 сент. 2026 г.
67°F или ниже
$12 Объем
43%
68-69°F
$12 Объем
58%
70-71°F
$0 Объем
28%
72-73°F
$2 Объем
34%
74-75°F
$21 Объем
28%
76-77°F
$176 Объем
<1%
78-79°F
$94 Объем
<1%
80–81°F
$109 Объем
<1%
82-83°F
$47 Объем
<1%
84-85°F
$47 Объем
<1%
86°F или выше
$72 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin peg the daily minimum temperature on September 5 near 76°F, driven by southerly flow, dew points in the mid-70s, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 70.8°F for the date. Minor differences among high-resolution runs and local station observations—cloud cover timing, wind gusts near 5 mph, and exact boundary-layer mixing—create the tight spread traders have priced across the 68–75°F bins. With the low likely occurring in the pre-dawn hours and official resolution tied to airport or NWS data, any late downward revision in guidance or localized cooling could shift probabilities within the narrow 45–55% range now implied by the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Объем
$592Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin peg the daily minimum temperature on September 5 near 76°F, driven by southerly flow, dew points in the mid-70s, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 70.8°F for the date. Minor differences among high-resolution runs and local station observations—cloud cover timing, wind gusts near 5 mph, and exact boundary-layer mixing—create the tight spread traders have priced across the 68–75°F bins. With the low likely occurring in the pre-dawn hours and official resolution tied to airport or NWS data, any late downward revision in guidance or localized cooling could shift probabilities within the narrow 45–55% range now implied by the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$592Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin peg the daily minimum temperature on September 5 near 76°F, driven by southerly flow, dew points in the mid-70s, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This sits several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 70.8°F for the date. Minor differences among high-resolution runs and local station observations—cloud cover timing, wind gusts near 5 mph, and exact boundary-layer mixing—create the tight spread traders have priced across the 68–75°F bins. With the low likely occurring in the pre-dawn hours and official resolution tied to airport or NWS data, any late downward revision in guidance or localized cooling could shift probabilities within the narrow 45–55% range now implied by the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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