Forecast models from agencies like the Dutch KNMI and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 13 hovering near 14–16 °C, supported by extensive low cloud cover, light westerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and scattered light rain that together suppress radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer, calmer nights that historically allow sharper drops toward the 11 °C September average low. Minor differences among model ensembles—particularly the precise timing of any partial clearing or subtle wind shifts—account for the market's tight clustering around 12–17 °C outcomes, with traders assigning roughly equal implied probabilities near 50 % to each threshold. Updated guidance through the evening will refine the exact low before daily resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Амстердаме 13 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Амстердаме 13 сентября?
12°C или ниже 100%
17°C 92%
16°C 51%
13°C 48%
$518 Объем
$518 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
100%
13°C
48%
14°C
-
15°C
27%
16°C
51%
17°C
92%
18°C
10%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C или выше
<1%
12°C или ниже 100%
17°C 92%
16°C 51%
13°C 48%
$518 Объем
$518 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$0 Объем
100%
13°C
$20 Объем
48%
14°C
$9 Объем
-
15°C
$5 Объем
27%
16°C
$9 Объем
51%
17°C
$163 Объем
92%
18°C
$157 Объем
10%
19°C
$5 Объем
<1%
20°C
$75 Объем
<1%
21°C
$60 Объем
<1%
22°C или выше
$15 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Dutch KNMI and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 13 hovering near 14–16 °C, supported by extensive low cloud cover, light westerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and scattered light rain that together suppress radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer, calmer nights that historically allow sharper drops toward the 11 °C September average low. Minor differences among model ensembles—particularly the precise timing of any partial clearing or subtle wind shifts—account for the market's tight clustering around 12–17 °C outcomes, with traders assigning roughly equal implied probabilities near 50 % to each threshold. Updated guidance through the evening will refine the exact low before daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$518Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Dutch KNMI and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 13 hovering near 14–16 °C, supported by extensive low cloud cover, light westerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and scattered light rain that together suppress radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer, calmer nights that historically allow sharper drops toward the 11 °C September average low. Minor differences among model ensembles—particularly the precise timing of any partial clearing or subtle wind shifts—account for the market's tight clustering around 12–17 °C outcomes, with traders assigning roughly equal implied probabilities near 50 % to each threshold. Updated guidance through the evening will refine the exact low before daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$518Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Dutch KNMI and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 13 hovering near 14–16 °C, supported by extensive low cloud cover, light westerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and scattered light rain that together suppress radiative cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer, calmer nights that historically allow sharper drops toward the 11 °C September average low. Minor differences among model ensembles—particularly the precise timing of any partial clearing or subtle wind shifts—account for the market's tight clustering around 12–17 °C outcomes, with traders assigning roughly equal implied probabilities near 50 % to each threshold. Updated guidance through the evening will refine the exact low before daily resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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