Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, with a Partisan Voter Index reflecting a substantial Democratic advantage and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Troy Carter, who secured reelection in 2024, faces limited opposition in the November 3 open primary from fellow Democrat Renada Collins and a Republican challenger, Peter Williams, alongside minor candidates. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, citing the district's voter composition and absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or fundraising. The Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais altered statewide maps and primary schedules but preserved the core Democratic tilt in this district. A Democratic nominee is expected to advance to any December runoff, with trader pricing reflecting these structural factors. Scenarios that could shift odds include a late major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, though no such developments have emerged.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-02
$61,064 Объем
$61,064 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
97%
Республиканская партия
3%
$61,064 Объем
$61,064 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$34,748 Объем
97%
Республиканская партия
$26,316 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, with a Partisan Voter Index reflecting a substantial Democratic advantage and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Troy Carter, who secured reelection in 2024, faces limited opposition in the November 3 open primary from fellow Democrat Renada Collins and a Republican challenger, Peter Williams, alongside minor candidates. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, citing the district's voter composition and absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or fundraising. The Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais altered statewide maps and primary schedules but preserved the core Democratic tilt in this district. A Democratic nominee is expected to advance to any December runoff, with trader pricing reflecting these structural factors. Scenarios that could shift odds include a late major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$61,064Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, with a Partisan Voter Index reflecting a substantial Democratic advantage and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Troy Carter, who secured reelection in 2024, faces limited opposition in the November 3 open primary from fellow Democrat Renada Collins and a Republican challenger, Peter Williams, alongside minor candidates. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, citing the district's voter composition and absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or fundraising. The Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais altered statewide maps and primary schedules but preserved the core Democratic tilt in this district. A Democratic nominee is expected to advance to any December runoff, with trader pricing reflecting these structural factors. Scenarios that could shift odds include a late major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$61,064Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, with a Partisan Voter Index reflecting a substantial Democratic advantage and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Troy Carter, who secured reelection in 2024, faces limited opposition in the November 3 open primary from fellow Democrat Renada Collins and a Republican challenger, Peter Williams, alongside minor candidates. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, citing the district's voter composition and absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or fundraising. The Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais altered statewide maps and primary schedules but preserved the core Democratic tilt in this district. A Democratic nominee is expected to advance to any December runoff, with trader pricing reflecting these structural factors. Scenarios that could shift odds include a late major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, though no such developments have emerged.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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