Incumbent Governor Abba Kabir Yusuf's 2026 switch from NNPP to APC and subsequent emergence as the party's consensus candidate for the February 2027 Kano governorship has consolidated support among ruling party stakeholders, yet the race remains tightly contested. Multiple aspirants including Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo, Muhammad Bello Dalhatu, and Mohammad Raji hold comparable trader-implied probabilities, reflecting early-stage dynamics with no decisive polling separation or major defections. Yusuf's recent selection of a running mate and alignment with national APC priorities provide an incumbency edge, while the crowded field and ongoing internal party negotiations sustain uncertainty. Scheduled primaries, potential alliances, and campaign momentum in the coming months could shift probabilities by clarifying viable challengers or reinforcing the frontrunner's position.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКано, победитель выборов губернатора Нигерии
Кано, победитель выборов губернатора Нигерии
Абба Кабир Юсуф 59%
Амин Абдуссалам Гварзо 38%
Мухаммад Белло Далхату 2.2%
Мохаммад Раджи <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 фев. 2027 г.
Абба Кабир Юсуф
59%
Амин Абдуссалам Гварзо
38%
Мухаммад Белло Далхату
2%
Мохаммад Раджи
1%
Абба Кабир Юсуф 59%
Амин Абдуссалам Гварзо 38%
Мухаммад Белло Далхату 2.2%
Мохаммад Раджи <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 фев. 2027 г.
Абба Кабир Юсуф
$1,806 Объем
59%
Амин Абдуссалам Гварзо
$1,496 Объем
38%
Мухаммад Белло Далхату
$204 Объем
2%
Мохаммад Раджи
$336 Объем
1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Incumbent Governor Abba Kabir Yusuf's 2026 switch from NNPP to APC and subsequent emergence as the party's consensus candidate for the February 2027 Kano governorship has consolidated support among ruling party stakeholders, yet the race remains tightly contested. Multiple aspirants including Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo, Muhammad Bello Dalhatu, and Mohammad Raji hold comparable trader-implied probabilities, reflecting early-stage dynamics with no decisive polling separation or major defections. Yusuf's recent selection of a running mate and alignment with national APC priorities provide an incumbency edge, while the crowded field and ongoing internal party negotiations sustain uncertainty. Scheduled primaries, potential alliances, and campaign momentum in the coming months could shift probabilities by clarifying viable challengers or reinforcing the frontrunner's position.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
Объем
$3,841Дата окончания
6 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Incumbent Governor Abba Kabir Yusuf's 2026 switch from NNPP to APC and subsequent emergence as the party's consensus candidate for the February 2027 Kano governorship has consolidated support among ruling party stakeholders, yet the race remains tightly contested. Multiple aspirants including Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo, Muhammad Bello Dalhatu, and Mohammad Raji hold comparable trader-implied probabilities, reflecting early-stage dynamics with no decisive polling separation or major defections. Yusuf's recent selection of a running mate and alignment with national APC priorities provide an incumbency edge, while the crowded field and ongoing internal party negotiations sustain uncertainty. Scheduled primaries, potential alliances, and campaign momentum in the coming months could shift probabilities by clarifying viable challengers or reinforcing the frontrunner's position.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Объем
$3,841Дата окончания
6 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Governor Abba Kabir Yusuf's 2026 switch from NNPP to APC and subsequent emergence as the party's consensus candidate for the February 2027 Kano governorship has consolidated support among ruling party stakeholders, yet the race remains tightly contested. Multiple aspirants including Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo, Muhammad Bello Dalhatu, and Mohammad Raji hold comparable trader-implied probabilities, reflecting early-stage dynamics with no decisive polling separation or major defections. Yusuf's recent selection of a running mate and alignment with national APC priorities provide an incumbency edge, while the crowded field and ongoing internal party negotiations sustain uncertainty. Scheduled primaries, potential alliances, and campaign momentum in the coming months could shift probabilities by clarifying viable challengers or reinforcing the frontrunner's position.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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