Kansas's 1st congressional district maintains a strongly Republican profile, reflected in its R+16 partisan voting index and consistent results in prior cycles, including the incumbent's 69% share in 2024. Tracey Mann secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with 81% of the vote, while Democrat Lauren Reinhold advanced as the opposing nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. This positioning aligns with the district's rural and conservative electorate and limited shifts in voter patterns. A national Democratic surge, unforeseen scandals, or candidate health developments before Election Day could introduce volatility, though the seat's structural advantages make substantial movement improbable on current evidence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоKS-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
KS-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$17,348 Объем
$17,348 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
6%
$17,348 Объем
$17,348 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$6,050 Объем
94%
Демократическая партия
$11,298 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kansas's 1st congressional district maintains a strongly Republican profile, reflected in its R+16 partisan voting index and consistent results in prior cycles, including the incumbent's 69% share in 2024. Tracey Mann secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with 81% of the vote, while Democrat Lauren Reinhold advanced as the opposing nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. This positioning aligns with the district's rural and conservative electorate and limited shifts in voter patterns. A national Democratic surge, unforeseen scandals, or candidate health developments before Election Day could introduce volatility, though the seat's structural advantages make substantial movement improbable on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$17,348Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kansas's 1st congressional district maintains a strongly Republican profile, reflected in its R+16 partisan voting index and consistent results in prior cycles, including the incumbent's 69% share in 2024. Tracey Mann secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with 81% of the vote, while Democrat Lauren Reinhold advanced as the opposing nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. This positioning aligns with the district's rural and conservative electorate and limited shifts in voter patterns. A national Democratic surge, unforeseen scandals, or candidate health developments before Election Day could introduce volatility, though the seat's structural advantages make substantial movement improbable on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$17,348Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kansas's 1st congressional district maintains a strongly Republican profile, reflected in its R+16 partisan voting index and consistent results in prior cycles, including the incumbent's 69% share in 2024. Tracey Mann secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with 81% of the vote, while Democrat Lauren Reinhold advanced as the opposing nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. This positioning aligns with the district's rural and conservative electorate and limited shifts in voter patterns. A national Democratic surge, unforeseen scandals, or candidate health developments before Election Day could introduce volatility, though the seat's structural advantages make substantial movement improbable on current evidence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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