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icon for Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?

Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?

<5 71%

5-9 24%

10-14 4.9%

15-19 2.9%

Polymarket

$11,710 Объем

<5 71%

5-9 24%

10-14 4.9%

15-19 2.9%

Polymarket

$11,710 Объем

<5

$7,052 Объем

71%

5-9

$1,025 Объем

24%

10-14

$575 Объем

5%

15-19

$381 Объем

3%

20-24

$312 Объем

1%

25-29

$262 Объем

1%

30-34

$289 Объем

1%

35-39

$281 Объем

1%

40-44

$276 Объем

1%

45-49

$282 Объем

1%

50-54

$282 Объем

1%

55-59

$276 Объем

1%

60+

$416 Объем

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The account @khamenei_ir now functions solely as an archival feed following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in early 2026, republishing select historical statements rather than issuing new commentary from the late Supreme Leader.** This established low-volume pattern—typically a handful of items per week—directly drives the 70% trader consensus on fewer than five posts for the August 7–14 window and the 23.5% probability on the 5–9 range. No verified political, religious, or institutional events in the past week have prompted elevated activity on the feed. Comparable weekly windows show the same restrained cadence, reflecting the account's archival mandate and the absence of fresh content tied to the original Khamenei. Higher bins remain thin because sustained increases would require shifts in posting policy that have not materialized. Traders weigh this structural consistency against the remote possibility of commemorative or policy-related reposts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$11,710
Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The account @khamenei_ir now functions solely as an archival feed following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in early 2026, republishing select historical statements rather than issuing new commentary from the late Supreme Leader.** This established low-volume pattern—typically a handful of items per week—directly drives the 70% trader consensus on fewer than five posts for the August 7–14 window and the 23.5% probability on the 5–9 range. No verified political, religious, or institutional events in the past week have prompted elevated activity on the feed. Comparable weekly windows show the same restrained cadence, reflecting the account's archival mandate and the absence of fresh content tied to the original Khamenei. Higher bins remain thin because sustained increases would require shifts in posting policy that have not materialized. Traders weigh this structural consistency against the remote possibility of commemorative or policy-related reposts.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$11,710
Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 13 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «<5» с 71%, за ним следует «5-9» с 24%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 71¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 71%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $11.7K с момента запуска рынка Aug 4, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?», просмотри 13 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?» — «<5» с 71%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 71%. Следующий ближайший исход — «5-9» с 24%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.