Elon Musk’s established X posting cadence—typically 30–50 daily posts in recent weekly tracking, driven by business updates, cultural commentary, and real-time reactions—anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 range for the three-day window. Recent August and July Polymarket resolutions show totals clustering near or below prior highs, reflecting moderation on quieter stretches without major Tesla, SpaceX, or policy catalysts. With no confirmed high-profile events or earnings drops scheduled for August 10–12, the market prices in a baseline weekend or low-news period that favors mid-range totals over spikes above 90. This skin-in-the-game consensus highlights how even minor shifts in engagement volume can swing shorter-duration buckets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено40-64 50%
65-89 24%
Менее 40 20%
90-114 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 авг. 2026 г.
Менее 40
20%
40-64
50%
65-89
24%
90-114
6%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 24%
Менее 40 20%
90-114 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 авг. 2026 г.
Менее 40
$76 Объем
20%
40-64
$108 Объем
50%
65-89
$1,037 Объем
24%
90-114
$206 Объем
6%
115-139
$80 Объем
2%
140-164
$582 Объем
<1%
165-189
$597 Объем
<1%
190-214
$129 Объем
<1%
215-239
$126 Объем
<1%
240+
$338 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established X posting cadence—typically 30–50 daily posts in recent weekly tracking, driven by business updates, cultural commentary, and real-time reactions—anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 range for the three-day window. Recent August and July Polymarket resolutions show totals clustering near or below prior highs, reflecting moderation on quieter stretches without major Tesla, SpaceX, or policy catalysts. With no confirmed high-profile events or earnings drops scheduled for August 10–12, the market prices in a baseline weekend or low-news period that favors mid-range totals over spikes above 90. This skin-in-the-game consensus highlights how even minor shifts in engagement volume can swing shorter-duration buckets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Aug 8, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Объем
$3,277Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 12:07 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established X posting cadence—typically 30–50 daily posts in recent weekly tracking, driven by business updates, cultural commentary, and real-time reactions—anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 range for the three-day window. Recent August and July Polymarket resolutions show totals clustering near or below prior highs, reflecting moderation on quieter stretches without major Tesla, SpaceX, or policy catalysts. With no confirmed high-profile events or earnings drops scheduled for August 10–12, the market prices in a baseline weekend or low-news period that favors mid-range totals over spikes above 90. This skin-in-the-game consensus highlights how even minor shifts in engagement volume can swing shorter-duration buckets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$3,277Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 12:07 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established X posting cadence—typically 30–50 daily posts in recent weekly tracking, driven by business updates, cultural commentary, and real-time reactions—anchors trader consensus around the 40–64 range for the three-day window. Recent August and July Polymarket resolutions show totals clustering near or below prior highs, reflecting moderation on quieter stretches without major Tesla, SpaceX, or policy catalysts. With no confirmed high-profile events or earnings drops scheduled for August 10–12, the market prices in a baseline weekend or low-news period that favors mid-range totals over spikes above 90. This skin-in-the-game consensus highlights how even minor shifts in engagement volume can swing shorter-duration buckets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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