Trader consensus on Donald Trump's Truth Social activity from August 7-14 reflects uncertainty over posting volume, with probabilities spread across several bins near the middle and high ranges. Historical patterns show fluctuations driven by news cycles, campaign events, media coverage, and personal schedule, without dominant catalysts in the immediate window. The tight distribution among leading outcomes stems from balanced expectations around typical daily engagement rates and the lack of confirmed major announcements or controversies. Developments such as rallies, policy statements, or breaking political news could increase frequency and shift probabilities toward higher bins, while quieter periods might favor lower ranges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено200+ 21%
140-159 19%
160-179 17%
120-139 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 авг. 2026 г.
<20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
1%
80-99
5%
100-119
10%
120-139
15%
140-159
19%
160-179
17%
180-199
9%
200+
21%
200+ 21%
140-159 19%
160-179 17%
120-139 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 авг. 2026 г.
<20
$759 Объем
<1%
20-39
$217 Объем
1%
40-59
$149 Объем
1%
60-79
$251 Объем
1%
80-99
$507 Объем
5%
100-119
$575 Объем
10%
120-139
$416 Объем
15%
140-159
$474 Объем
19%
160-179
$988 Объем
17%
180-199
$556 Объем
9%
200+
$818 Объем
21%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Donald Trump's Truth Social activity from August 7-14 reflects uncertainty over posting volume, with probabilities spread across several bins near the middle and high ranges. Historical patterns show fluctuations driven by news cycles, campaign events, media coverage, and personal schedule, without dominant catalysts in the immediate window. The tight distribution among leading outcomes stems from balanced expectations around typical daily engagement rates and the lack of confirmed major announcements or controversies. Developments such as rallies, policy statements, or breaking political news could increase frequency and shift probabilities toward higher bins, while quieter periods might favor lower ranges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Объем
$5,709Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Donald Trump's Truth Social activity from August 7-14 reflects uncertainty over posting volume, with probabilities spread across several bins near the middle and high ranges. Historical patterns show fluctuations driven by news cycles, campaign events, media coverage, and personal schedule, without dominant catalysts in the immediate window. The tight distribution among leading outcomes stems from balanced expectations around typical daily engagement rates and the lack of confirmed major announcements or controversies. Developments such as rallies, policy statements, or breaking political news could increase frequency and shift probabilities toward higher bins, while quieter periods might favor lower ranges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$5,709Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Donald Trump's Truth Social activity from August 7-14 reflects uncertainty over posting volume, with probabilities spread across several bins near the middle and high ranges. Historical patterns show fluctuations driven by news cycles, campaign events, media coverage, and personal schedule, without dominant catalysts in the immediate window. The tight distribution among leading outcomes stems from balanced expectations around typical daily engagement rates and the lack of confirmed major announcements or controversies. Developments such as rallies, policy statements, or breaking political news could increase frequency and shift probabilities toward higher bins, while quieter periods might favor lower ranges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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