Virginia's congressional map remains unchanged after the state Supreme Court invalidated the April 2026 redistricting referendum in May, preserving the 2021 lines and blocking Democratic efforts to target a larger share of the state's 11 seats. With Democrats holding six districts and Republicans five ahead of the November 3 election, trader focus centers on two Republican-held seats where Democrats recently nominated established candidates—prosecutor Shannon Taylor in the 1st and former Representative Elaine Luria in the 2nd—to challenge incumbents Rob Wittman and Jen Kiggans. National midterm dynamics, including Democratic performance in 2026 specials and the limited number of true battlegrounds, sustain uncertainty over whether Democrats will net zero, one, or two additional seats, producing a broad distribution of probabilities across outcomes from fewer than five to nine or more.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено6 38%
<5 37%
7 37%
5 37%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<5
37%
5
37%
6
38%
7
37%
8
37%
9+
37%
6 38%
<5 37%
7 37%
5 37%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<5
$0 Объем
37%
5
$0 Объем
37%
6
$0 Объем
38%
7
$0 Объем
37%
8
$0 Объем
37%
9+
$0 Объем
37%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Virginia in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia's congressional map remains unchanged after the state Supreme Court invalidated the April 2026 redistricting referendum in May, preserving the 2021 lines and blocking Democratic efforts to target a larger share of the state's 11 seats. With Democrats holding six districts and Republicans five ahead of the November 3 election, trader focus centers on two Republican-held seats where Democrats recently nominated established candidates—prosecutor Shannon Taylor in the 1st and former Representative Elaine Luria in the 2nd—to challenge incumbents Rob Wittman and Jen Kiggans. National midterm dynamics, including Democratic performance in 2026 specials and the limited number of true battlegrounds, sustain uncertainty over whether Democrats will net zero, one, or two additional seats, producing a broad distribution of probabilities across outcomes from fewer than five to nine or more.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Virginia in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Virginia in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia's congressional map remains unchanged after the state Supreme Court invalidated the April 2026 redistricting referendum in May, preserving the 2021 lines and blocking Democratic efforts to target a larger share of the state's 11 seats. With Democrats holding six districts and Republicans five ahead of the November 3 election, trader focus centers on two Republican-held seats where Democrats recently nominated established candidates—prosecutor Shannon Taylor in the 1st and former Representative Elaine Luria in the 2nd—to challenge incumbents Rob Wittman and Jen Kiggans. National midterm dynamics, including Democratic performance in 2026 specials and the limited number of true battlegrounds, sustain uncertainty over whether Democrats will net zero, one, or two additional seats, producing a broad distribution of probabilities across outcomes from fewer than five to nine or more.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Virginia in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Virginia US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Virginia's congressional map remains unchanged after the state Supreme Court invalidated the April 2026 redistricting referendum in May, preserving the 2021 lines and blocking Democratic efforts to target a larger share of the state's 11 seats. With Democrats holding six districts and Republicans five ahead of the November 3 election, trader focus centers on two Republican-held seats where Democrats recently nominated established candidates—prosecutor Shannon Taylor in the 1st and former Representative Elaine Luria in the 2nd—to challenge incumbents Rob Wittman and Jen Kiggans. National midterm dynamics, including Democratic performance in 2026 specials and the limited number of true battlegrounds, sustain uncertainty over whether Democrats will net zero, one, or two additional seats, producing a broad distribution of probabilities across outcomes from fewer than five to nine or more.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Выиграют ли демократы ровно 11 мест в Палате представителей в Техасе на промежуточных выборах 2026 года?
45%
Да
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Да
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38%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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