**Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C daily maximum in Wuhan on September 5, reflecting alignment across official forecasts and real-time observations.** Chinese meteorological sources and international models consistently project a high near this threshold under partly cloudy to clearing conditions, with afternoon temperatures peaking around 31°C amid light northeast winds and moderate humidity. Recent data show morning readings climbing steadily toward this level without significant cooling influences like widespread rain or stronger cloud cover. While model consensus supports this outcome, late-day convective activity or localized measurement variations at official stations could shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction, though current atmospheric conditions make larger deviations unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 5 сентября?
31°C 99.8%
27°C или ниже <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$35,955 Объем
$35,955 Объем
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C или выше
<1%
31°C 99.8%
27°C или ниже <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$35,955 Объем
$35,955 Объем
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C daily maximum in Wuhan on September 5, reflecting alignment across official forecasts and real-time observations.** Chinese meteorological sources and international models consistently project a high near this threshold under partly cloudy to clearing conditions, with afternoon temperatures peaking around 31°C amid light northeast winds and moderate humidity. Recent data show morning readings climbing steadily toward this level without significant cooling influences like widespread rain or stronger cloud cover. While model consensus supports this outcome, late-day convective activity or localized measurement variations at official stations could shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction, though current atmospheric conditions make larger deviations unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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