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icon for Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 25 июля?

Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 25 июля?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 25 июля?

Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 25 июля?

июл. 25

июл. 26

июл. 25

июл. 26

12°C 90%

13°C 6%

14°C 1.4%

7°C or below <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$59,714 Объем

12°C 90%

13°C 6%

14°C 1.4%

7°C or below <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$59,714 Объем

7°C or below

$241 Объем

<1%

8°C

$1,240 Объем

<1%

9°C

$1,467 Объем

<1%

10°C

$6,341 Объем

<1%

11°C

$13,184 Объем

<1%

12°C

$14,412 Объем

90%

13°C

$12,509 Объем

6%

14°C

$7,956 Объем

1%

15°C

$1,526 Объем

<1%

16°C

$463 Объем

<1%

17°C or higher

$376 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts for Wellington indicate a maximum of 11–12°C on July 25, aligning with the market’s leading 12°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Typical mid-winter conditions prevail, with average July highs near 12°C, supported by NIWA’s May–July outlook favoring near- or below-average temperatures amid possible cold southerly flows. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and frequent strong winds can produce rapid diurnal shifts or brief warming, keeping 13°C as a close second at 36%. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours from MetService or NIWA will refine the exact peak before market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$59,714
Дата окончания
25 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts for Wellington indicate a maximum of 11–12°C on July 25, aligning with the market’s leading 12°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Typical mid-winter conditions prevail, with average July highs near 12°C, supported by NIWA’s May–July outlook favoring near- or below-average temperatures amid possible cold southerly flows. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and frequent strong winds can produce rapid diurnal shifts or brief warming, keeping 13°C as a close second at 36%. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours from MetService or NIWA will refine the exact peak before market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$59,714
Дата окончания
25 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 25 июля?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «12°C» с 90%, за ним следует «13°C» с 6%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 90¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 90%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 25 июля?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $59.7K с момента запуска рынка Jul 23, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 25 июля?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 25 июля?» — «12°C» с 90%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 90%. Следующий ближайший исход — «13°C» с 6%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 25 июля?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.