Recent heavy rainfall across Hong Kong, already exceeding typical July totals with frequent thunderstorms, has increased cloud cover and humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures clustered near 24–26°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high dew points near 26°C and light winds, further constrain cooling rates according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures align with climatological July lows around 26–27°C, while modest model spread from possible weak disturbances or clearer breaks introduces the 1–2°C uncertainty reflected in the tight 24–26°C market probabilities. Updated official forecasts through July 26 will refine these near-term drivers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 26 июля?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 26 июля?
25°C 38%
26°C 34%
27°C 20%
24°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 июл. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
38%
26°C
34%
27°C
20%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C или выше
<1%
25°C 38%
26°C 34%
27°C 20%
24°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 июл. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$223 Объем
<1%
22°C
$32 Объем
1%
23°C
$163 Объем
2%
24°C
$350 Объем
8%
25°C
$354 Объем
38%
26°C
$190 Объем
34%
27°C
$93 Объем
20%
28°C
$93 Объем
2%
29°C
$271 Объем
1%
30°C
$125 Объем
1%
31°C или выше
$125 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent heavy rainfall across Hong Kong, already exceeding typical July totals with frequent thunderstorms, has increased cloud cover and humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures clustered near 24–26°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high dew points near 26°C and light winds, further constrain cooling rates according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures align with climatological July lows around 26–27°C, while modest model spread from possible weak disturbances or clearer breaks introduces the 1–2°C uncertainty reflected in the tight 24–26°C market probabilities. Updated official forecasts through July 26 will refine these near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$2,018Дата окончания
26 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent heavy rainfall across Hong Kong, already exceeding typical July totals with frequent thunderstorms, has increased cloud cover and humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures clustered near 24–26°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high dew points near 26°C and light winds, further constrain cooling rates according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures align with climatological July lows around 26–27°C, while modest model spread from possible weak disturbances or clearer breaks introduces the 1–2°C uncertainty reflected in the tight 24–26°C market probabilities. Updated official forecasts through July 26 will refine these near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,018Дата окончания
26 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall across Hong Kong, already exceeding typical July totals with frequent thunderstorms, has increased cloud cover and humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures clustered near 24–26°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high dew points near 26°C and light winds, further constrain cooling rates according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures align with climatological July lows around 26–27°C, while modest model spread from possible weak disturbances or clearer breaks introduces the 1–2°C uncertainty reflected in the tight 24–26°C market probabilities. Updated official forecasts through July 26 will refine these near-term drivers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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