Recent forecasts from major models indicate a moderating Atlantic or northerly flow over Istanbul on July 26, 2026, introducing increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced insolation that caps daytime maxima near 26–27°C rather than the seasonal July baseline of 28–30°C. This synoptic setup aligns with the market-implied probabilities, where 26°C leads at 52.5% and 27–28°C hold secondary shares, as traders incorporate the latest guidance showing limited warming potential before the pattern shifts. Updated ensemble runs over the next 24–48 hours, along with any revisions to land-sea breeze effects or precipitation timing, remain the key variables that could refine exact peak readings within the 25–28°C range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 26 июля?
27°C 42%
26°C 38%
28°C 13%
29°C 6%
22°C или ниже
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
38%
27°C
42%
28°C
13%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
27°C 42%
26°C 38%
28°C 13%
29°C 6%
22°C или ниже
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
38%
27°C
42%
28°C
13%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models indicate a moderating Atlantic or northerly flow over Istanbul on July 26, 2026, introducing increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced insolation that caps daytime maxima near 26–27°C rather than the seasonal July baseline of 28–30°C. This synoptic setup aligns with the market-implied probabilities, where 26°C leads at 52.5% and 27–28°C hold secondary shares, as traders incorporate the latest guidance showing limited warming potential before the pattern shifts. Updated ensemble runs over the next 24–48 hours, along with any revisions to land-sea breeze effects or precipitation timing, remain the key variables that could refine exact peak readings within the 25–28°C range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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