Persistent subtropical high pressure over northern Taiwan, combined with urban heat island amplification in Taipei and recent late-July patterns of 34–36°C highs, has produced model consensus for a peak near 36°C on August 1 according to Central Weather Administration guidance. This setup favors strong diurnal heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with minimal cooling from convection expected during peak afternoon hours. Official station data resolution criteria align closely with these conditions, supporting the near-certain market-implied outcome at 36°C. A late-day thunderstorm cluster or faster onshore flow could shave 1–2°C off the maximum, while stronger ridging might push readings toward 37°C; both remain low-probability deviations given current guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тайбэе 1 августа?
36°C 98.8%
37°C 1.1%
38°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
$66,685 Объем
$66,685 Объем
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
99%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 98.8%
37°C 1.1%
38°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
$66,685 Объем
$66,685 Объем
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
99%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure over northern Taiwan, combined with urban heat island amplification in Taipei and recent late-July patterns of 34–36°C highs, has produced model consensus for a peak near 36°C on August 1 according to Central Weather Administration guidance. This setup favors strong diurnal heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with minimal cooling from convection expected during peak afternoon hours. Official station data resolution criteria align closely with these conditions, supporting the near-certain market-implied outcome at 36°C. A late-day thunderstorm cluster or faster onshore flow could shave 1–2°C off the maximum, while stronger ridging might push readings toward 37°C; both remain low-probability deviations given current guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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