Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as Qingdao’s daily maximum today, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration and international ensemble guidance that points to stable high-pressure conditions, light northeast winds of 3–4 levels, and peak insolation under mostly sunny skies at the official Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station. Recent days under comparable setups delivered highs of 29–30°C with low model spread, and current boundary-layer humidity around 50–60% supports the narrow range traders have priced. The market-implied odds embed the wisdom of crowds assessing these atmospheric variables against historical September baselines. A modest shift in timing of maximum heating, local calibration at the station, or unexpected moisture influx could still produce a 30°C or 32°C reading before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Циндао 5 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Циндао 5 сентября?
31°C 99.6%
25°C или ниже <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$24,504 Объем
$24,504 Объем
5 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C или выше
<1%
31°C 99.6%
25°C или ниже <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$24,504 Объем
$24,504 Объем
5 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$255 Объем
<1%
26°C
$681 Объем
<1%
27°C
$346 Объем
<1%
28°C
$1,571 Объем
<1%
29°C
$1,589 Объем
<1%
30°C
$3,054 Объем
<1%
31°C
$6,648 Объем
100%
32°C
$3,451 Объем
<1%
33°C
$2,436 Объем
<1%
34°C
$1,566 Объем
<1%
35°C или выше
$2,906 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as Qingdao’s daily maximum today, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration and international ensemble guidance that points to stable high-pressure conditions, light northeast winds of 3–4 levels, and peak insolation under mostly sunny skies at the official Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station. Recent days under comparable setups delivered highs of 29–30°C with low model spread, and current boundary-layer humidity around 50–60% supports the narrow range traders have priced. The market-implied odds embed the wisdom of crowds assessing these atmospheric variables against historical September baselines. A modest shift in timing of maximum heating, local calibration at the station, or unexpected moisture influx could still produce a 30°C or 32°C reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$24,504Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as Qingdao’s daily maximum today, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration and international ensemble guidance that points to stable high-pressure conditions, light northeast winds of 3–4 levels, and peak insolation under mostly sunny skies at the official Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station. Recent days under comparable setups delivered highs of 29–30°C with low model spread, and current boundary-layer humidity around 50–60% supports the narrow range traders have priced. The market-implied odds embed the wisdom of crowds assessing these atmospheric variables against historical September baselines. A modest shift in timing of maximum heating, local calibration at the station, or unexpected moisture influx could still produce a 30°C or 32°C reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$24,504Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as Qingdao’s daily maximum today, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration and international ensemble guidance that points to stable high-pressure conditions, light northeast winds of 3–4 levels, and peak insolation under mostly sunny skies at the official Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station. Recent days under comparable setups delivered highs of 29–30°C with low model spread, and current boundary-layer humidity around 50–60% supports the narrow range traders have priced. The market-implied odds embed the wisdom of crowds assessing these atmospheric variables against historical September baselines. A modest shift in timing of maximum heating, local calibration at the station, or unexpected moisture influx could still produce a 30°C or 32°C reading before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы