**Recent forecasts from regional models indicate daytime highs in Panama City, Panama, are likely to reach 30–32°C on September 7 amid typical rainy-season conditions.** Persistent moisture from the monsoon trough and scattered afternoon thunderstorms—driven by daytime heating and the Intertropical Convergence Zone—support this range by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that caps peak temperatures. Historical September climatology shows average highs near 30°C, with recent observations and short-range guidance (including GFS and local IMHPA inputs) aligning closely without major deviations such as suppressed convection or anomalous ridging. Trader consensus favoring 31°C (40.5% implied probability) and 32°C (27%) reflects this central tendency, while the modest 13.5% on 33°C+ accounts for upside potential if storms develop later or steering patterns allow greater insolation. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings, with ongoing model updates expected to refine timing of convective activity over the next 48 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Панама-Сити 7 сентября?
31°C 41%
32°C 28%
33°C или выше 14%
29°C 8%
23°C или ниже
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
20%
31°C
41%
32°C
28%
33°C или выше
14%
31°C 41%
32°C 28%
33°C или выше 14%
29°C 8%
23°C или ниже
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
20%
31°C
41%
32°C
28%
33°C или выше
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from regional models indicate daytime highs in Panama City, Panama, are likely to reach 30–32°C on September 7 amid typical rainy-season conditions.** Persistent moisture from the monsoon trough and scattered afternoon thunderstorms—driven by daytime heating and the Intertropical Convergence Zone—support this range by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that caps peak temperatures. Historical September climatology shows average highs near 30°C, with recent observations and short-range guidance (including GFS and local IMHPA inputs) aligning closely without major deviations such as suppressed convection or anomalous ridging. Trader consensus favoring 31°C (40.5% implied probability) and 32°C (27%) reflects this central tendency, while the modest 13.5% on 33°C+ accounts for upside potential if storms develop later or steering patterns allow greater insolation. Resolution hinges on official maximum readings, with ongoing model updates expected to refine timing of convective activity over the next 48 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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