**Forecast models for Mexico City on September 7, 2026, center on a daily maximum near the early-September climatological average of 22–24 °C, reflecting the city’s 2,240 m elevation and the ongoing rainy-season pattern of afternoon convection and cloud cover.** Current guidance from sources including the Met Office, Meteoprog, and regional outlooks shows highs of 22–24 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers, which limits solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. This distribution underpins the market’s concentration on 22 °C (25.5 %) and 23 °C (36.5 %), while the 22 % implied probability on 24 °C or higher captures upside risk if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger insolation. Lower outcomes remain possible only with unusually persistent rain or stronger cold-air advection, both low-probability events at this time of year. Updated model runs and official CONAGUA briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 7 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 7 сентября?
23°C 35%
22°C 24%
24°C или выше 22%
21°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
14%
22°C
24%
23°C
35%
24°C или выше
22%
23°C 35%
22°C 24%
24°C или выше 22%
21°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
$135 Объем
<1%
15°C
$135 Объем
1%
16°C
$135 Объем
<1%
17°C
$125 Объем
1%
18°C
$0 Объем
4%
19°C
$0 Объем
4%
20°C
$17 Объем
6%
21°C
$27 Объем
14%
22°C
$21 Объем
24%
23°C
$12 Объем
35%
24°C или выше
$178 Объем
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Mexico City on September 7, 2026, center on a daily maximum near the early-September climatological average of 22–24 °C, reflecting the city’s 2,240 m elevation and the ongoing rainy-season pattern of afternoon convection and cloud cover.**
Current guidance from sources including the Met Office, Meteoprog, and regional outlooks shows highs of 22–24 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers, which limits solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. This distribution underpins the market’s concentration on 22 °C (25.5 %) and 23 °C (36.5 %), while the 22 % implied probability on 24 °C or higher captures upside risk if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger insolation. Lower outcomes remain possible only with unusually persistent rain or stronger cold-air advection, both low-probability events at this time of year. Updated model runs and official CONAGUA briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Объем
$784Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Mexico City on September 7, 2026, center on a daily maximum near the early-September climatological average of 22–24 °C, reflecting the city’s 2,240 m elevation and the ongoing rainy-season pattern of afternoon convection and cloud cover.**
Current guidance from sources including the Met Office, Meteoprog, and regional outlooks shows highs of 22–24 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers, which limits solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. This distribution underpins the market’s concentration on 22 °C (25.5 %) and 23 °C (36.5 %), while the 22 % implied probability on 24 °C or higher captures upside risk if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger insolation. Lower outcomes remain possible only with unusually persistent rain or stronger cold-air advection, both low-probability events at this time of year. Updated model runs and official CONAGUA briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$784Дата окончания
7 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Mexico City on September 7, 2026, center on a daily maximum near the early-September climatological average of 22–24 °C, reflecting the city’s 2,240 m elevation and the ongoing rainy-season pattern of afternoon convection and cloud cover.** Current guidance from sources including the Met Office, Meteoprog, and regional outlooks shows highs of 22–24 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers, which limits solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. This distribution underpins the market’s concentration on 22 °C (25.5 %) and 23 °C (36.5 %), while the 22 % implied probability on 24 °C or higher captures upside risk if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger insolation. Lower outcomes remain possible only with unusually persistent rain or stronger cold-air advection, both low-probability events at this time of year. Updated model runs and official CONAGUA briefings over the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы