Current AEMET guidance and ensemble models indicate a maximum temperature near 35–36°C for Madrid on September 8 under clear skies and light southerly flow. These conditions support strong daytime solar heating over the urban heat island while limiting cloud cover and moisture. Recent early-September warmth across central Spain, including record national readings elsewhere, has reinforced trader confidence in values near the upper end of the seasonal range, producing the 56.5% implied probability on 36°C and 37% on 35°C. Model consensus remains the dominant driver, though small revisions in boundary-layer mixing or wind shifts could adjust the final peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 8 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 8 сентября?
36°C 59%
35°C 35%
37°C 6%
34°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 сент. 2026 г.
31°C или ниже
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
35%
36°C
59%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C или выше
<1%
36°C 59%
35°C 35%
37°C 6%
34°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 сент. 2026 г.
31°C или ниже
$121 Объем
<1%
32°C
$121 Объем
<1%
33°C
$398 Объем
1%
34°C
$1,266 Объем
4%
35°C
$1,270 Объем
35%
36°C
$2,161 Объем
59%
37°C
$786 Объем
6%
38°C
$498 Объем
1%
39°C
$126 Объем
<1%
40°C
$567 Объем
<1%
41°C или выше
$355 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current AEMET guidance and ensemble models indicate a maximum temperature near 35–36°C for Madrid on September 8 under clear skies and light southerly flow. These conditions support strong daytime solar heating over the urban heat island while limiting cloud cover and moisture. Recent early-September warmth across central Spain, including record national readings elsewhere, has reinforced trader confidence in values near the upper end of the seasonal range, producing the 56.5% implied probability on 36°C and 37% on 35°C. Model consensus remains the dominant driver, though small revisions in boundary-layer mixing or wind shifts could adjust the final peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$7,669Дата окончания
8 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current AEMET guidance and ensemble models indicate a maximum temperature near 35–36°C for Madrid on September 8 under clear skies and light southerly flow. These conditions support strong daytime solar heating over the urban heat island while limiting cloud cover and moisture. Recent early-September warmth across central Spain, including record national readings elsewhere, has reinforced trader confidence in values near the upper end of the seasonal range, producing the 56.5% implied probability on 36°C and 37% on 35°C. Model consensus remains the dominant driver, though small revisions in boundary-layer mixing or wind shifts could adjust the final peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,669Дата окончания
8 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current AEMET guidance and ensemble models indicate a maximum temperature near 35–36°C for Madrid on September 8 under clear skies and light southerly flow. These conditions support strong daytime solar heating over the urban heat island while limiting cloud cover and moisture. Recent early-September warmth across central Spain, including record national readings elsewhere, has reinforced trader confidence in values near the upper end of the seasonal range, producing the 56.5% implied probability on 36°C and 37% on 35°C. Model consensus remains the dominant driver, though small revisions in boundary-layer mixing or wind shifts could adjust the final peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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