Recent forecast guidance and real-time observations from agencies including NOAA point to atmospheric conditions supporting a peak temperature of 35°C at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport station on September 5. High dew points near 23–25°C combined with light winds and partial cloud cover are limiting overnight cooling while allowing strong daytime heating under subtropical September patterns, where the climatological average high is approximately 32.7°C. Trader consensus at 98.8% implied probability for exactly 35°C reflects this model alignment and limited downside risk from convective activity. A stronger-than-expected thunderstorm outbreak or increased low-level moisture could suppress the maximum below the threshold, though current radar trends and ensemble spreads suggest such outcomes remain low-probability before final resolution data posts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 5 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 5 сентября?
35°C 99.8%
37°C или выше <1%
27°C или ниже <1%
28°C <1%
$122,426 Объем
$122,426 Объем
5 сент. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C или выше
<1%
35°C 99.8%
37°C или выше <1%
27°C или ниже <1%
28°C <1%
$122,426 Объем
$122,426 Объем
5 сент. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
$565 Объем
<1%
28°C
$2,662 Объем
<1%
29°C
$3,826 Объем
<1%
30°C
$3,673 Объем
<1%
31°C
$9,768 Объем
<1%
32°C
$10,276 Объем
<1%
33°C
$14,667 Объем
<1%
34°C
$16,726 Объем
<1%
35°C
$27,258 Объем
100%
36°C
$23,318 Объем
<1%
37°C или выше
$12,878 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance and real-time observations from agencies including NOAA point to atmospheric conditions supporting a peak temperature of 35°C at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport station on September 5. High dew points near 23–25°C combined with light winds and partial cloud cover are limiting overnight cooling while allowing strong daytime heating under subtropical September patterns, where the climatological average high is approximately 32.7°C. Trader consensus at 98.8% implied probability for exactly 35°C reflects this model alignment and limited downside risk from convective activity. A stronger-than-expected thunderstorm outbreak or increased low-level moisture could suppress the maximum below the threshold, though current radar trends and ensemble spreads suggest such outcomes remain low-probability before final resolution data posts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$122,426Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance and real-time observations from agencies including NOAA point to atmospheric conditions supporting a peak temperature of 35°C at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport station on September 5. High dew points near 23–25°C combined with light winds and partial cloud cover are limiting overnight cooling while allowing strong daytime heating under subtropical September patterns, where the climatological average high is approximately 32.7°C. Trader consensus at 98.8% implied probability for exactly 35°C reflects this model alignment and limited downside risk from convective activity. A stronger-than-expected thunderstorm outbreak or increased low-level moisture could suppress the maximum below the threshold, though current radar trends and ensemble spreads suggest such outcomes remain low-probability before final resolution data posts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$122,426Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance and real-time observations from agencies including NOAA point to atmospheric conditions supporting a peak temperature of 35°C at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport station on September 5. High dew points near 23–25°C combined with light winds and partial cloud cover are limiting overnight cooling while allowing strong daytime heating under subtropical September patterns, where the climatological average high is approximately 32.7°C. Trader consensus at 98.8% implied probability for exactly 35°C reflects this model alignment and limited downside risk from convective activity. A stronger-than-expected thunderstorm outbreak or increased low-level moisture could suppress the maximum below the threshold, though current radar trends and ensemble spreads suggest such outcomes remain low-probability before final resolution data posts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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