Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and local models positions a high near 92–93°F as the most probable outcome for Denver on September 13, driven by sunny to partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and minimal afternoon convection risk that limits cooling from clouds or storms. This aligns with recent observations of above-normal temperatures amid a stable high-pressure ridge, contrasting the 1991–2020 September 13 average high of 80°F. Traders assign 59.5% implied probability to 92–93°F and 27% to 94–95°F, reflecting tight model agreement on peak readings while acknowledging slight upside potential from stronger insolation or delayed mixing. Updated NWS guidance and hourly observations through midday continue to anchor expectations within this narrow range ahead of evening resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Денвере 13 сентября?
92-93°F 52%
94-95°F 28%
90-91°F 8%
88-89°F 6.0%
$14,815 Объем
$14,815 Объем
83°F или ниже
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
52%
94-95°F
28%
96–97°F
3%
98-99°F
1%
100–101°F
<1%
102°F или выше
<1%
92-93°F 52%
94-95°F 28%
90-91°F 8%
88-89°F 6.0%
$14,815 Объем
$14,815 Объем
83°F или ниже
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
52%
94-95°F
28%
96–97°F
3%
98-99°F
1%
100–101°F
<1%
102°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and local models positions a high near 92–93°F as the most probable outcome for Denver on September 13, driven by sunny to partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and minimal afternoon convection risk that limits cooling from clouds or storms. This aligns with recent observations of above-normal temperatures amid a stable high-pressure ridge, contrasting the 1991–2020 September 13 average high of 80°F. Traders assign 59.5% implied probability to 92–93°F and 27% to 94–95°F, reflecting tight model agreement on peak readings while acknowledging slight upside potential from stronger insolation or delayed mixing. Updated NWS guidance and hourly observations through midday continue to anchor expectations within this narrow range ahead of evening resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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