Current numerical weather models from agencies including the South African Weather Service indicate a fine day for Cape Town on August 7, with light to moderate southerly winds under high pressure suppressing cloud cover and supporting a maximum near 19°C. This aligns with climatological August averages of 17–18°C while recent model runs show limited diurnal warming due to the maritime influence and lack of strong northerly advection. A weakening cold front approaching the Western Cape has already moderated interior temperatures but is expected to bring only minimal change by Friday, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 18–20°C outcomes. Updated forecast guidance and any last-minute model shifts will refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Кейптауне 7 августа?
19°C 41%
18°C 25%
20°C 18%
17°C 8%
14°C или ниже
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
8%
18°C
25%
19°C
41%
20°C
18%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C или выше
<1%
19°C 41%
18°C 25%
20°C 18%
17°C 8%
14°C или ниже
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
8%
18°C
25%
19°C
41%
20°C
18%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models from agencies including the South African Weather Service indicate a fine day for Cape Town on August 7, with light to moderate southerly winds under high pressure suppressing cloud cover and supporting a maximum near 19°C. This aligns with climatological August averages of 17–18°C while recent model runs show limited diurnal warming due to the maritime influence and lack of strong northerly advection. A weakening cold front approaching the Western Cape has already moderated interior temperatures but is expected to bring only minimal change by Friday, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 18–20°C outcomes. Updated forecast guidance and any last-minute model shifts will refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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