Latest forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak of 32–34°C in Beijing on September 5 under mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity typical of early autumn. Model consensus shows modest daytime heating with minimal cloud cover, though slight variations in timing of maximum insolation or localized urban heat effects could shift the official high between 33°C and 34°C. These closely matched market-implied odds reflect genuine uncertainty in the final hourly observation at the designated station, with new real-time data releases likely to refine trader positioning before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пекине 5 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Пекине 5 сентября?
33°C 48%
34°C 44%
32°C 11%
35°C 2%
НОВОЕ
$19,378 Объем
НОВОЕ
$19,378 Объем
5 сент. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
11%
33°C
48%
34°C
44%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C или выше
<1%
33°C 48%
34°C 44%
32°C 11%
35°C 2%
НОВОЕ
$19,378 Объем
НОВОЕ
$19,378 Объем
5 сент. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
$535 Объем
<1%
29°C
$1,380 Объем
<1%
30°C
$1,555 Объем
<1%
31°C
$2,247 Объем
<1%
32°C
$4,744 Объем
11%
33°C
$2,012 Объем
48%
34°C
$2,972 Объем
44%
35°C
$2,434 Объем
2%
36°C
$637 Объем
<1%
37°C
$336 Объем
<1%
38°C или выше
$656 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak of 32–34°C in Beijing on September 5 under mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity typical of early autumn. Model consensus shows modest daytime heating with minimal cloud cover, though slight variations in timing of maximum insolation or localized urban heat effects could shift the official high between 33°C and 34°C. These closely matched market-implied odds reflect genuine uncertainty in the final hourly observation at the designated station, with new real-time data releases likely to refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$19,378Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak of 32–34°C in Beijing on September 5 under mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity typical of early autumn. Model consensus shows modest daytime heating with minimal cloud cover, though slight variations in timing of maximum insolation or localized urban heat effects could shift the official high between 33°C and 34°C. These closely matched market-implied odds reflect genuine uncertainty in the final hourly observation at the designated station, with new real-time data releases likely to refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$19,378Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak of 32–34°C in Beijing on September 5 under mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity typical of early autumn. Model consensus shows modest daytime heating with minimal cloud cover, though slight variations in timing of maximum insolation or localized urban heat effects could shift the official high between 33°C and 34°C. These closely matched market-implied odds reflect genuine uncertainty in the final hourly observation at the designated station, with new real-time data releases likely to refine trader positioning before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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