**Clear, sunny conditions with light southwesterly winds and low humidity are driving Ankara’s maximum temperature toward 33°C on September 13, 2026.** Multiple official and model forecasts, including hourly runs showing afternoon peaks of 32–33°C (about 90–92°F) under clear skies and minimal cloud cover, align closely with this outcome and underpin the 82% market-implied probability. Stable high pressure and dry air have prevented significant cooling or precipitation, keeping the daily high consistent with late-summer norms rather than the cooler September average. Recent model consensus shows little deviation, with only minor uncertainty around exact peak timing or localized variations that could shift the reading to 32°C or 34°C. Updated afternoon observations confirming temperatures climbing through the low 30s further reinforce trader positioning around 33°C as the most likely resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Анкаре 13 сентября?
33°C 82%
32°C 11%
34°C 4.7%
35°C <1%
$25,676 Объем
$25,676 Объем
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
11%
33°C
82%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C или выше
<1%
33°C 82%
32°C 11%
34°C 4.7%
35°C <1%
$25,676 Объем
$25,676 Объем
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
11%
33°C
82%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Clear, sunny conditions with light southwesterly winds and low humidity are driving Ankara’s maximum temperature toward 33°C on September 13, 2026.** Multiple official and model forecasts, including hourly runs showing afternoon peaks of 32–33°C (about 90–92°F) under clear skies and minimal cloud cover, align closely with this outcome and underpin the 82% market-implied probability. Stable high pressure and dry air have prevented significant cooling or precipitation, keeping the daily high consistent with late-summer norms rather than the cooler September average. Recent model consensus shows little deviation, with only minor uncertainty around exact peak timing or localized variations that could shift the reading to 32°C or 34°C. Updated afternoon observations confirming temperatures climbing through the low 30s further reinforce trader positioning around 33°C as the most likely resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы