Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) at 65% and 64.7%, respectively, on the 2,500-question expert-level benchmark covering math, sciences, and humanities. These gains stem from scaled reasoning training, adaptive tool use, and larger context windows that outperform earlier 2025 frontier models stuck below 20%. Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 sits near 62%, while OpenAI and Google entries trail in the mid-to-high 50s, reflecting differences in post-training and agentic scaffolding. With three months left in 2026, new releases, verified no-tools evaluations, and multimodal extensions could lift the frontier further, though self-reported results and benchmark revisions introduce uncertainty around final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамый высокий балл на последнем экзамене человечества в 2026 году?
Самый высокий балл на последнем экзамене человечества в 2026 году?
$53,627 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
60%+
61%
65%+
31%
70%+
17%
75%+
12%
80%+
7%
90%+
4%
$53,627 Объем
60%+
$28,525 Объем
61%
65%+
$13,622 Объем
31%
70%+
$5,265 Объем
17%
75%+
$2,857 Объем
12%
80%+
$1,151 Объем
7%
90%+
$2,206 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) at 65% and 64.7%, respectively, on the 2,500-question expert-level benchmark covering math, sciences, and humanities. These gains stem from scaled reasoning training, adaptive tool use, and larger context windows that outperform earlier 2025 frontier models stuck below 20%. Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 sits near 62%, while OpenAI and Google entries trail in the mid-to-high 50s, reflecting differences in post-training and agentic scaffolding. With three months left in 2026, new releases, verified no-tools evaluations, and multimodal extensions could lift the frontier further, though self-reported results and benchmark revisions introduce uncertainty around final resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Открытие рынка: Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Объем
$53,627Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://agi.safe.ai/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) at 65% and 64.7%, respectively, on the 2,500-question expert-level benchmark covering math, sciences, and humanities. These gains stem from scaled reasoning training, adaptive tool use, and larger context windows that outperform earlier 2025 frontier models stuck below 20%. Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 sits near 62%, while OpenAI and Google entries trail in the mid-to-high 50s, reflecting differences in post-training and agentic scaffolding. With three months left in 2026, new releases, verified no-tools evaluations, and multimodal extensions could lift the frontier further, though self-reported results and benchmark revisions introduce uncertainty around final resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Объем
$53,627Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://agi.safe.ai/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) at 65% and 64.7%, respectively, on the 2,500-question expert-level benchmark covering math, sciences, and humanities. These gains stem from scaled reasoning training, adaptive tool use, and larger context windows that outperform earlier 2025 frontier models stuck below 20%. Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 sits near 62%, while OpenAI and Google entries trail in the mid-to-high 50s, reflecting differences in post-training and agentic scaffolding. With three months left in 2026, new releases, verified no-tools evaluations, and multimodal extensions could lift the frontier further, though self-reported results and benchmark revisions introduce uncertainty around final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Достигнет ли максимальный балл, набранный моделью OpenAI на Последнем Экзамене Человечества в 2026 году, 50% или выше?
90%
Да
Будет ли максимальный результат, достигнутый моделью Meta на Последнем экзамене человечества в 2026 году, 55% или выше?
44%
Да
Даст ли любая модель Anthropic Claude результат 55% или выше на Humanity’s Last Exam в 2026 году?
90%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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