**Canada's advance GDP estimate for July 2026 points to essentially flat monthly growth, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on a 0.0–0.1% outcome.** Statistics Canada’s preliminary reading showed real GDP unchanged as gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services were offset by declines in retail trade and manufacturing, following a 0.3% June increase that contributed to solid 0.9% Q2 expansion. July merchandise trade data reinforced the soft patch, with exports falling 2.3% while imports rose 2.2%, narrowing the surplus. Ongoing U.S. tariff uncertainty and elevated energy prices have tempered broader momentum, keeping near-term monthly readings subdued ahead of the official September 29 release. Trader consensus reflects these offsetting sector dynamics and the preliminary data’s limited upside surprise.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено0,0 до 0,1% 56%
0,2 до 0,3% 20%
<0,0% 17%
0,4 до 0,5% <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 сент. 2026 г.
<0,0%
19%
0,0 до 0,1%
56%
0,2 до 0,3%
20%
0,4 до 0,5%
<1%
0,6 до 0,7%
<1%
0,8%+
<1%
0,0 до 0,1% 56%
0,2 до 0,3% 20%
<0,0% 17%
0,4 до 0,5% <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 сент. 2026 г.
<0,0%
$1,766 Объем
19%
0,0 до 0,1%
$1,079 Объем
56%
0,2 до 0,3%
$2,385 Объем
20%
0,4 до 0,5%
$1,344 Объем
<1%
0,6 до 0,7%
$345 Объем
<1%
0,8%+
$1,402 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.**Canada's advance GDP estimate for July 2026 points to essentially flat monthly growth, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on a 0.0–0.1% outcome.** Statistics Canada’s preliminary reading showed real GDP unchanged as gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services were offset by declines in retail trade and manufacturing, following a 0.3% June increase that contributed to solid 0.9% Q2 expansion. July merchandise trade data reinforced the soft patch, with exports falling 2.3% while imports rose 2.2%, narrowing the surplus. Ongoing U.S. tariff uncertainty and elevated energy prices have tempered broader momentum, keeping near-term monthly readings subdued ahead of the official September 29 release. Trader consensus reflects these offsetting sector dynamics and the preliminary data’s limited upside surprise.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Объем
$8,322Дата окончания
29 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.**Canada's advance GDP estimate for July 2026 points to essentially flat monthly growth, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on a 0.0–0.1% outcome.** Statistics Canada’s preliminary reading showed real GDP unchanged as gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services were offset by declines in retail trade and manufacturing, following a 0.3% June increase that contributed to solid 0.9% Q2 expansion. July merchandise trade data reinforced the soft patch, with exports falling 2.3% while imports rose 2.2%, narrowing the surplus. Ongoing U.S. tariff uncertainty and elevated energy prices have tempered broader momentum, keeping near-term monthly readings subdued ahead of the official September 29 release. Trader consensus reflects these offsetting sector dynamics and the preliminary data’s limited upside surprise.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Объем
$8,322Дата окончания
29 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Canada's advance GDP estimate for July 2026 points to essentially flat monthly growth, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on a 0.0–0.1% outcome.** Statistics Canada’s preliminary reading showed real GDP unchanged as gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services were offset by declines in retail trade and manufacturing, following a 0.3% June increase that contributed to solid 0.9% Q2 expansion. July merchandise trade data reinforced the soft patch, with exports falling 2.3% while imports rose 2.2%, narrowing the surplus. Ongoing U.S. tariff uncertainty and elevated energy prices have tempered broader momentum, keeping near-term monthly readings subdued ahead of the official September 29 release. Trader consensus reflects these offsetting sector dynamics and the preliminary data’s limited upside surprise.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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