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icon for Предложение о финансировании общественной кампании в Калифорнии

Предложение о финансировании общественной кампании в Калифорнии

icon for Предложение о финансировании общественной кампании в Калифорнии

Предложение о финансировании общественной кампании в Калифорнии

Да

45% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

45% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Proposition 4 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would give California governments the authority to set up public financing systems for state and local political candidates. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).**Proposition 4 would repeal California's longstanding ban on public campaign financing, permitting state and local governments to create voluntary programs with spending limits, small-donor qualification rules, and restrictions barring use of funds earmarked for education, transportation, or public safety.** Trader pricing at 56.5% for rejection reflects the measure's permissive but untested structure, limited organized campaign activity, and voter caution toward taxpayer-supported candidate funding on a November 2026 ballot already featuring several revenue and spending proposals. Support comes from groups including the League of Women Voters and California Democratic Party, while taxpayer organizations have voiced opposition. No major recent developments or heavy spending have shifted the landscape since legislative referral. The outcome hinges on turnout patterns and broader sentiment toward campaign finance reforms.

Proposition 4 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would give California governments the authority to set up public financing systems for state and local political candidates.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Proposition 4 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would give California governments the authority to set up public financing systems for state and local political candidates. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 6:31 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
Proposition 4 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would give California governments the authority to set up public financing systems for state and local political candidates. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).**Proposition 4 would repeal California's longstanding ban on public campaign financing, permitting state and local governments to create voluntary programs with spending limits, small-donor qualification rules, and restrictions barring use of funds earmarked for education, transportation, or public safety.** Trader pricing at 56.5% for rejection reflects the measure's permissive but untested structure, limited organized campaign activity, and voter caution toward taxpayer-supported candidate funding on a November 2026 ballot already featuring several revenue and spending proposals. Support comes from groups including the League of Women Voters and California Democratic Party, while taxpayer organizations have voiced opposition. No major recent developments or heavy spending have shifted the landscape since legislative referral. The outcome hinges on turnout patterns and broader sentiment toward campaign finance reforms.

Proposition 4 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would give California governments the authority to set up public financing systems for state and local political candidates.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Proposition 4 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would give California governments the authority to set up public financing systems for state and local political candidates. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 6:31 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Предложение о финансировании общественной кампании в Калифорнии» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Калифорнийское предложение о государственном финансировании избирательных кампаний» с 45%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 45¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 45%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Предложение о финансировании общественной кампании в Калифорнии» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 1, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Предложение о финансировании общественной кампании в Калифорнии», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Предложение о финансировании общественной кампании в Калифорнии» — «Калифорнийское предложение о государственном финансировании избирательных кампаний» с 45%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 45%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Предложение о финансировании общественной кампании в Калифорнии» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.