Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Gomez and fellow Democrat Angela Gonzales-Torres advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary in the heavily Democratic Central Los Angeles district, leaving no Republican on the November general-election ballot. The district's strong partisan lean, reflected in its D+28 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results, drives trader consensus that a Democratic nominee will prevail. With both finalists from the same party, the implied probability heavily favors the Democratic outcome. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented write-in campaign, candidate withdrawal altering the matchup, or unforeseen legal developments before certification—none of which appear likely based on current primary results and district fundamentals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-34 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-34 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$38,866 Объем
$38,866 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
2%
$38,866 Объем
$38,866 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$15,025 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$23,841 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Gomez and fellow Democrat Angela Gonzales-Torres advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary in the heavily Democratic Central Los Angeles district, leaving no Republican on the November general-election ballot. The district's strong partisan lean, reflected in its D+28 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results, drives trader consensus that a Democratic nominee will prevail. With both finalists from the same party, the implied probability heavily favors the Democratic outcome. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented write-in campaign, candidate withdrawal altering the matchup, or unforeseen legal developments before certification—none of which appear likely based on current primary results and district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$38,866Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Gomez and fellow Democrat Angela Gonzales-Torres advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary in the heavily Democratic Central Los Angeles district, leaving no Republican on the November general-election ballot. The district's strong partisan lean, reflected in its D+28 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results, drives trader consensus that a Democratic nominee will prevail. With both finalists from the same party, the implied probability heavily favors the Democratic outcome. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented write-in campaign, candidate withdrawal altering the matchup, or unforeseen legal developments before certification—none of which appear likely based on current primary results and district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$38,866Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Gomez and fellow Democrat Angela Gonzales-Torres advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary in the heavily Democratic Central Los Angeles district, leaving no Republican on the November general-election ballot. The district's strong partisan lean, reflected in its D+28 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results, drives trader consensus that a Democratic nominee will prevail. With both finalists from the same party, the implied probability heavily favors the Democratic outcome. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented write-in campaign, candidate withdrawal altering the matchup, or unforeseen legal developments before certification—none of which appear likely based on current primary results and district fundamentals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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