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Политика·Бразилия

Победитель выборов губернатора Амазонаса

icon for Победитель выборов губернатора Амазонаса
Политика·Бразилия

Победитель выборов губернатора Амазонаса

Омар Азиз 70%

Профессор Мария ду Карму 18%

Гилберто Васконселос 4.5%

Давид Алмейда 2.4%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Омар Азиз 70%

Профессор Мария ду Карму 18%

Гилберто Васконселос 4.5%

Давид Алмейда 2.4%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Омар Азиз

Омар Азиз

$2,035 Объем

70%

icon for Профессор Мария ду Карму

Профессор Мария ду Карму

$210 Объем

18%

icon for Гилберто Васконселос

Гилберто Васконселос

$168 Объем

5%

icon for Давид Алмейда

Давид Алмейда

$151 Объем

2%

icon for Роберто Сидаде

Роберто Сидаде

$160 Объем

1%

icon for Кабо Даçiоло

Кабо Даçiоло

$147 Объем

1%

icon for Исаэль Мундуруку

Исаэль Мундуруку

$216 Объем

<1%

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) leads the Amazonas gubernatorial race with strong trader consensus, driven by his formal candidacy launch in July 2026, registration as the first contender, and a broad coalition including PT, PCdoB, and PV announced on August 1. As a former governor (2010–2014) and sitting senator, Aziz benefits from name recognition and alliances with key state figures like Eduardo Braga. Recent polling trends, including a December 2025 survey showing him ahead of Maria do Carmo Seffair (PL) and others, reinforce this positioning ahead of the October 4 first round. Lower probabilities for Cidade, Almeida, and minor candidates reflect limited momentum or fragmented support in the current field.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$3,086
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) leads the Amazonas gubernatorial race with strong trader consensus, driven by his formal candidacy launch in July 2026, registration as the first contender, and a broad coalition including PT, PCdoB, and PV announced on August 1. As a former governor (2010–2014) and sitting senator, Aziz benefits from name recognition and alliances with key state figures like Eduardo Braga. Recent polling trends, including a December 2025 survey showing him ahead of Maria do Carmo Seffair (PL) and others, reinforce this positioning ahead of the October 4 first round. Lower probabilities for Cidade, Almeida, and minor candidates reflect limited momentum or fragmented support in the current field.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$3,086
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли доктор Даниэль Сантос выборы губернатора штата Пара?

Выиграет ли доктор Даниэль Сантос выборы губернатора штата Пара?

46%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Лукас Рибейро выборы губернатора Параибы?

Выиграет ли Лукас Рибейро выборы губернатора Параибы?

75%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Алан Рик губернаторские выборы в Акре в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Алан Рик губернаторские выборы в Акре в 2026 году?

66%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов губернатора Амазонаса» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Омар Азиз» с 70%, за ним следует «Профессор Мария ду Карму» с 18%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 70¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 70%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов губернатора Амазонаса» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 17, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов губернатора Амазонаса», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов губернатора Амазонаса» — «Омар Азиз» с 70%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 70%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Профессор Мария ду Карму» с 18%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов губернатора Амазонаса» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.