Recent polling shows Democrats holding a modest generic ballot edge and a clear engagement advantage heading into the 2026 midterms, with higher shares of their coalition viewing congressional control as important and actively following the race. This dynamic, set against a Republican-controlled White House facing low approval ratings and economic concerns as the dominant voter issue, supports trader focus on turnout levels near or above recent midterm totals. Midterm elections historically draw lower participation than presidential years, yet sustained base mobilization by either party, redistricting effects on competitive districts, and late-cycle campaign spending could shift absolute vote counts. The clustered probabilities around 115-125 million ballots reflect this balance of structural midterm patterns and variable enthusiasm factors, with any widening enthusiasm gap or major economic shift likely to separate the leading ranges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено120-125 млн 27%
115-120 млн 22%
125–130 млн 15%
110–115 млн 12%
$23,292 Объем
$23,292 Объем
<85 млн
2%
85-90 млн
1%
90–95 млн
3%
95-100 млн
3%
100–105 млн
2%
105-110 млн
6%
110–115 млн
12%
115-120 млн
22%
120-125 млн
27%
125–130 млн
15%
130 млн+
5%
120-125 млн 27%
115-120 млн 22%
125–130 млн 15%
110–115 млн 12%
$23,292 Объем
$23,292 Объем
<85 млн
2%
85-90 млн
1%
90–95 млн
3%
95-100 млн
3%
100–105 млн
2%
105-110 млн
6%
110–115 млн
12%
115-120 млн
22%
120-125 млн
27%
125–130 млн
15%
130 млн+
5%
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows Democrats holding a modest generic ballot edge and a clear engagement advantage heading into the 2026 midterms, with higher shares of their coalition viewing congressional control as important and actively following the race. This dynamic, set against a Republican-controlled White House facing low approval ratings and economic concerns as the dominant voter issue, supports trader focus on turnout levels near or above recent midterm totals. Midterm elections historically draw lower participation than presidential years, yet sustained base mobilization by either party, redistricting effects on competitive districts, and late-cycle campaign spending could shift absolute vote counts. The clustered probabilities around 115-125 million ballots reflect this balance of structural midterm patterns and variable enthusiasm factors, with any widening enthusiasm gap or major economic shift likely to separate the leading ranges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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