Recent special election results and sustained Democratic leads in generic ballot polling reflect heightened opposition enthusiasm under the current Republican administration, supporting expectations for solid but not record midterm participation around recent historical levels. Redistricting adjustments, primary turnout data through mid-2026, and ongoing voter mobilization efforts on both sides introduce variables that keep absolute House vote totals clustered between roughly 115-125 million in trader assessments. Low presidential approval ratings and economic concerns could boost overall engagement, while structural factors like off-year participation rates and state-level voting access rules limit upside surprises. Late campaign spending surges or major breaking developments before November could still shift totals by altering base mobilization.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено120-125 млн 27%
115-120 млн 22%
125–130 млн 15%
110–115 млн 12%
$23,281 Объем
$23,281 Объем
<85 млн
2%
85-90 млн
1%
90–95 млн
2%
95-100 млн
3%
100–105 млн
2%
105-110 млн
6%
110–115 млн
12%
115-120 млн
22%
120-125 млн
27%
125–130 млн
15%
130 млн+
5%
120-125 млн 27%
115-120 млн 22%
125–130 млн 15%
110–115 млн 12%
$23,281 Объем
$23,281 Объем
<85 млн
2%
85-90 млн
1%
90–95 млн
2%
95-100 млн
3%
100–105 млн
2%
105-110 млн
6%
110–115 млн
12%
115-120 млн
22%
120-125 млн
27%
125–130 млн
15%
130 млн+
5%
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent special election results and sustained Democratic leads in generic ballot polling reflect heightened opposition enthusiasm under the current Republican administration, supporting expectations for solid but not record midterm participation around recent historical levels. Redistricting adjustments, primary turnout data through mid-2026, and ongoing voter mobilization efforts on both sides introduce variables that keep absolute House vote totals clustered between roughly 115-125 million in trader assessments. Low presidential approval ratings and economic concerns could boost overall engagement, while structural factors like off-year participation rates and state-level voting access rules limit upside surprises. Late campaign spending surges or major breaking developments before November could still shift totals by altering base mobilization.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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