Recent national polling aggregates show Democrats leading the generic congressional ballot by roughly 6-7 points, consistent with the historical midterm penalty for the president's party. This positioning, combined with a narrow Republican House majority heading into November, has concentrated trader consensus on Democratic popular vote margins in the 6-12 point range. Redistricting adjustments in states including Texas and California have modestly bolstered some Republican seats but have not shifted the overall national vote outlook. Cook Political Report ratings highlight competitive battlegrounds that align with these polling trends, while special election results and fundraising patterns reinforce opposition-party momentum. With roughly 75 days remaining, scheduled primaries and potential late-cycle developments could still influence final margins within the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДемократы 8-10% 27%
Демократы 10-12% 22%
Демократы 6-8% 21%
Демократы 4-6% 12%
$119,825 Объем
$119,825 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократы 16%+
1%
Демократы 14-16%
2%
Демократы 12-14%
7%
Демократы 10-12%
22%
Демократы 8-10%
27%
Демократы 6-8%
21%
Демократы 4-6%
12%
Демократы 2-4%
6%
Демократы 0-2%
2%
Республиканцы 0-2%
4%
Республиканцы 2-4%
3%
Республиканцы 4–6%
1%
Республиканцы 6%+
2%
Демократы 8-10% 27%
Демократы 10-12% 22%
Демократы 6-8% 21%
Демократы 4-6% 12%
$119,825 Объем
$119,825 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократы 16%+
$3,158 Объем
1%
Демократы 14-16%
$2,466 Объем
2%
Демократы 12-14%
$4,106 Объем
7%
Демократы 10-12%
$8,035 Объем
22%
Демократы 8-10%
$13,886 Объем
27%
Демократы 6-8%
$13,942 Объем
21%
Демократы 4-6%
$5,284 Объем
12%
Демократы 2-4%
$14,161 Объем
6%
Демократы 0-2%
$13,479 Объем
2%
Республиканцы 0-2%
$5,143 Объем
4%
Республиканцы 2-4%
$29,530 Объем
3%
Республиканцы 4–6%
$2,878 Объем
1%
Республиканцы 6%+
$3,756 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent national polling aggregates show Democrats leading the generic congressional ballot by roughly 6-7 points, consistent with the historical midterm penalty for the president's party. This positioning, combined with a narrow Republican House majority heading into November, has concentrated trader consensus on Democratic popular vote margins in the 6-12 point range. Redistricting adjustments in states including Texas and California have modestly bolstered some Republican seats but have not shifted the overall national vote outlook. Cook Political Report ratings highlight competitive battlegrounds that align with these polling trends, while special election results and fundraising patterns reinforce opposition-party momentum. With roughly 75 days remaining, scheduled primaries and potential late-cycle developments could still influence final margins within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Feb 18, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Объем
$119,825Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 18, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent national polling aggregates show Democrats leading the generic congressional ballot by roughly 6-7 points, consistent with the historical midterm penalty for the president's party. This positioning, combined with a narrow Republican House majority heading into November, has concentrated trader consensus on Democratic popular vote margins in the 6-12 point range. Redistricting adjustments in states including Texas and California have modestly bolstered some Republican seats but have not shifted the overall national vote outlook. Cook Political Report ratings highlight competitive battlegrounds that align with these polling trends, while special election results and fundraising patterns reinforce opposition-party momentum. With roughly 75 days remaining, scheduled primaries and potential late-cycle developments could still influence final margins within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Объем
$119,825Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 18, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polling aggregates show Democrats leading the generic congressional ballot by roughly 6-7 points, consistent with the historical midterm penalty for the president's party. This positioning, combined with a narrow Republican House majority heading into November, has concentrated trader consensus on Democratic popular vote margins in the 6-12 point range. Redistricting adjustments in states including Texas and California have modestly bolstered some Republican seats but have not shifted the overall national vote outlook. Cook Political Report ratings highlight competitive battlegrounds that align with these polling trends, while special election results and fundraising patterns reinforce opposition-party momentum. With roughly 75 days remaining, scheduled primaries and potential late-cycle developments could still influence final margins within the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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