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UN previsões e probabilidades

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Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

7%

$105K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

56%

Rafael Grossi

$68.6K Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

5

Ends há 3 meses

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

55%

Petro - Colombia President

$668K Vol.

$269K Liq.

9

Ends em 7 meses

Who will Trump speak to in June?

Who will Trump speak to in June?

99%

Emmanuel Macron

$200K Vol.

$148K Liq.

Ends em 23 dias

Who will Trump meet with in June?

Who will Trump meet with in June?

96%

Giorgia Meloni

$57.2K Vol.

$81.4K Liq.

Ends em 23 dias

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

98%

Giorgia Meloni

$530K Vol.

$119K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

28%

AS

$84.7K Vol.

$70.3K Liq.

6

Ends em 4 meses

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

3%

June 30

$51M Vol.

$389K today

$220K Liq.

432

Ends há 2 meses

"Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office

"Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office

71%

27-30m

$121K Vol.

$35.9K Liq.

Longest applause at State of the Union?

Longest applause at State of the Union?

70 - 90 seconds

+ 5 more

$2.0K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends há 3 meses

1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund - More Markets

1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund - More Markets

-

$533K Vol.

Ends há 4 meses

CD Unión La Calera vs. CF Universidad de Chile

CD Unión La Calera vs. CF Universidad de Chile

24%

Yes

$19.8K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

CA Unión vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - More Markets

CA Unión vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - More Markets

-

$30.1K Vol.

Ends há 4 meses

U19 World Cup: Zimbabwe Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19s - Team Top Batter

U19 World Cup: Zimbabwe Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19s - Team Top Batter

-

$61 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 4 meses

U19 World Cup: England Under-19s vs Scotland Under-19s - Team Top Batter

U19 World Cup: England Under-19s vs Scotland Under-19s - Team Top Batter

-

$61 Vol.

Ends há 4 meses

U19 World Cup: Zimbabwe Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19s - More Markets

U19 World Cup: Zimbabwe Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19s - More Markets

-

$2.4K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 4 meses

U19 World Cup: England Under-19s vs Scotland Under-19s - More Markets

U19 World Cup: England Under-19s vs Scotland Under-19s - More Markets

-

$856 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 4 meses

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs New Zealand Under-19s - Team Top Batter

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs New Zealand Under-19s - Team Top Batter

-

$91 Vol.

Ends há 4 meses

U19 World Cup: Ireland Under-19s vs Japan Under-19s - Team Top Batter

U19 World Cup: Ireland Under-19s vs Japan Under-19s - Team Top Batter

-

$489 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 4 meses

U19 World Cup: Sri Lanka Under-19s vs Australia Under-19s - Team Top Batter

U19 World Cup: Sri Lanka Under-19s vs Australia Under-19s - Team Top Batter

-

$97 Vol.

Ends há 4 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like UN.

Polymarket currently hosts 152 active markets for UN that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $53.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 3% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on UN predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.