Quem será o próximo Secretário-Geral da ONU?

Rebeca Grynspan 53.9%

Rafael Grossi 30%

Jacinda Ardern 3.5%

Michelle Bachelet 3.5%

$80,086 Vol.

27 fev 2026

Rebeca Grynspan

$4,573 Vol.

45%

Rafael Grossi

$22,300 Vol.

30%

Jacinda Ardern

$1,875 Vol.

Michelle Bachelet

$26,540 Vol.

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés

$3,039 Vol.

Kristalina Georgieva

$1,912 Vol.

Bruno Donat

$2,417 Vol.

Amina Mohammed

$3,899 Vol.

Mia Mottley

$2,035 Vol.

<1%

Alicia Bárcena

$2,096 Vol.

<1%

Colombe Cahen-Salvador

$2,679 Vol.

22%

David Choquehuanca

$2,099 Vol.

<1%

Vuk Jeremić

$2,071 Vol.

<1%

Achim Steiner

$2,551 Vol.

29%

Rebeca Grynspan 53.9%

Rafael Grossi 30%

Jacinda Ardern 3.5%

Michelle Bachelet 3.5%

$80,086 Vol.

27 fev 2026

Rebeca Grynspan

$4,573 Vol.

45%

Rafael Grossi

$22,300 Vol.

30%

Jacinda Ardern

$1,875 Vol.

Michelle Bachelet

$26,540 Vol.

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés

$3,039 Vol.

Kristalina Georgieva

$1,912 Vol.

Bruno Donat

$2,417 Vol.

Amina Mohammed

$3,899 Vol.

Mia Mottley

$2,035 Vol.

<1%

Alicia Bárcena

$2,096 Vol.

<1%

Colombe Cahen-Salvador

$2,679 Vol.

22%

David Choquehuanca

$2,099 Vol.

<1%

Vuk Jeremić

$2,071 Vol.

<1%

Achim Steiner

$2,551 Vol.

29%

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem será o próximo Secretário-Geral da ONU?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rebeca Grynspan" at 45%, followed by "Rafael Grossi" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem será o próximo Secretário-Geral da ONU?" has generated $80.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem será o próximo Secretário-Geral da ONU?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem será o próximo Secretário-Geral da ONU?" is "Rebeca Grynspan" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rafael Grossi" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem será o próximo Secretário-Geral da ONU?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Quem será o próximo Secretário-Geral da ONU?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $80.1K traded on “Quem será o próximo Secretário-Geral da ONU?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Quem será o próximo Secretário-Geral da ONU?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 45¢ for "Rebeca Grynspan" in the "Quem será o próximo Secretário-Geral da ONU?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 45% chance that "Rebeca Grynspan" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 45¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 55¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Quem será o próximo Secretário-Geral da ONU?" market's scheduled end date has passed, but the market has not yet been officially resolved. The end date indicates when the underlying event is expected to occur or become knowable. It is not the moment trading stops. The market remains open for trading until the outcome is formally resolved through the resolution process. You can still buy, sell, or close your position while the market is pending resolution. Check the resolution status tracker and "Rules" section on this page for updates on the resolution timeline.

The "Quem será o próximo Secretário-Geral da ONU?" market has a growing discussion of 5 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Quem será o próximo Secretário-Geral da ONU?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Quem será o próximo Secretário-Geral da ONU?

Quem será o próximo Secretário-Geral da ONU?

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Regras

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Comentários (5)

Top Holders

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Quem será o próximo Secretário-Geral da ONU?" prediction market?

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What does a price of 45¢ for "Rebeca Grynspan" mean?

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