Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon, launched in March 2026 as part of efforts to establish a security buffer against Hezbollah, have advanced toward and in some areas past the Litani River near Tyre, accompanied by repeated airstrikes and evacuation orders targeting Hezbollah infrastructure in and around the city through May and June. A U.S.-brokered ceasefire took effect in June, conditioning any Israeli withdrawal on Hezbollah’s disarmament and repositioning, though violations have triggered retaliatory strikes as recently as mid-August. Ongoing Rome negotiations focus on phased pullbacks and pilot zones, while Israeli statements emphasize retaining control until threats are neutralized. Trader consensus on entry timelines reflects uncertainty over whether limited incursions or ceasefire adherence will prevail amid these military and diplomatic dynamics.