Ongoing Ukrainian drone attacks on Moscow and surrounding regions have repeatedly prompted Russian aviation authorities to impose temporary flight restrictions at Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo airports, often under emergency air defense protocols that halt arrivals and departures. Multiple suspensions occurred in June 2026 amid large-scale drone assaults, followed by July airspace changes banning transit flights and lowering altitudes through at least mid-August for safety reasons. These measures reflect standard responses to verified aerial threats in the ongoing conflict. Trader consensus on near-term suspension probabilities incorporates the frequency of such incidents, with escalation or de-escalation in drone activity, official NOTAM updates, and any diplomatic signals serving as key variables that could shift outcomes before resolution deadlines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoO tráfego aéreo de Moscovo foi suspenso por...?
O tráfego aéreo de Moscovo foi suspenso por...?
NOVO
31 ago 2026
31 de agosto
73%
15 de setembro
79%
30 de setembro
89%
$310 Vol.
31 de agosto
$288 Vol.
73%
15 de setembro
$18 Vol.
79%
30 de setembro
$4 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing Ukrainian drone attacks on Moscow and surrounding regions have repeatedly prompted Russian aviation authorities to impose temporary flight restrictions at Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo airports, often under emergency air defense protocols that halt arrivals and departures. Multiple suspensions occurred in June 2026 amid large-scale drone assaults, followed by July airspace changes banning transit flights and lowering altitudes through at least mid-August for safety reasons. These measures reflect standard responses to verified aerial threats in the ongoing conflict. Trader consensus on near-term suspension probabilities incorporates the frequency of such incidents, with escalation or de-escalation in drone activity, official NOTAM updates, and any diplomatic signals serving as key variables that could shift outcomes before resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Volume
$310Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing Ukrainian drone attacks on Moscow and surrounding regions have repeatedly prompted Russian aviation authorities to impose temporary flight restrictions at Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo airports, often under emergency air defense protocols that halt arrivals and departures. Multiple suspensions occurred in June 2026 amid large-scale drone assaults, followed by July airspace changes banning transit flights and lowering altitudes through at least mid-August for safety reasons. These measures reflect standard responses to verified aerial threats in the ongoing conflict. Trader consensus on near-term suspension probabilities incorporates the frequency of such incidents, with escalation or de-escalation in drone activity, official NOTAM updates, and any diplomatic signals serving as key variables that could shift outcomes before resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$310Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Ukrainian drone attacks on Moscow and surrounding regions have repeatedly prompted Russian aviation authorities to impose temporary flight restrictions at Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo airports, often under emergency air defense protocols that halt arrivals and departures. Multiple suspensions occurred in June 2026 amid large-scale drone assaults, followed by July airspace changes banning transit flights and lowering altitudes through at least mid-August for safety reasons. These measures reflect standard responses to verified aerial threats in the ongoing conflict. Trader consensus on near-term suspension probabilities incorporates the frequency of such incidents, with escalation or de-escalation in drone activity, official NOTAM updates, and any diplomatic signals serving as key variables that could shift outcomes before resolution deadlines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions