Skip to main content

Autoridade Palestina previsões e probabilidades

·
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

18%

December 31

$127K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

3

Ends em 7 meses

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

26%

Belgium

$715K Vol.

$71.7K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Yes

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

7%

June 30

$635K Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

Ends há 2 meses

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

1%

$103K Vol.

$25.8K Liq.

15

Ends em 22 dias

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

4%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$30.7K Liq.

57

Ends há 8 dias

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

11%

$14.1K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

1

Ends em 22 dias

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

12%

$79.0K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by...?

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by...?

100%

June 7

$13M Vol.

$3M today

$2M Liq.

384

Ends em 22 dias

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

14%

$50.8K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$19.5K Liq.

162

Ends em 23 dias

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

3%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

354

Ends há 5 meses

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

60%

July 31

$27M Vol.

$529K today

$417K Liq.

340

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

37%

December 31

$619K Vol.

$29.9K Liq.

10

Ends há 5 meses

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

37%

4

$7M Vol.

$277K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

19%

June 30

$150K Vol.

$182 Liq.

31

Ends em 22 dias

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

10%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$15.6K Liq.

978

Ends em 22 dias

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

5%

$3.1K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

Ends em 22 dias

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

31%

$33.7K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

5

Ends em 7 meses

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

56%

$169K Vol.

$26.3K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Autoridade Palestina.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Autoridade Palestina that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $58.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 60% chance to July 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Autoridade Palestina predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.