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Macro Fed previsões e probabilidades

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Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

91

Ends em 24 dias

Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Marco Cecchinato

Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Marco Cecchinato

100%

Marco Cecchinato

$40.0K Vol.

$577 Liq.

Ends há 10 dias

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

17%

Marco Rubio

$618M Vol.

$883K today

$36M Liq.

953

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

30%

J.D. Vance

$651M Vol.

$641K today

$43M Liq.

415

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

72%

Nicolás Maduro

$90M Vol.

$60.8K today

$2M Liq.

345

Ends em 7 meses

Who will Trump speak to in June?

Who will Trump speak to in June?

99%

Emmanuel Macron

$196K Vol.

$182K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

56%

Petro - Colombia President

$659K Vol.

$264K Liq.

9

Ends em 7 meses

Who will Trump publicly praise by June 30?

Who will Trump publicly praise by June 30?

90%

Dana White

$60.5K Vol.

$44.1K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

30%

Steve Witkoff

$1M Vol.

$85.7K Liq.

77

Ends em 24 dias

Who will attend the NATO Summit?

Who will attend the NATO Summit?

96%

Donald Trump

$29.7K Vol.

$25.9K Liq.

3

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

50%

Emmanuel Macron

$682K Vol.

$56.9K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

21%

Kamala Harris

$704K Vol.

$609K Liq.

17

Ends em 7 meses

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

92%

Delcy Rodríguez

$27.5K Vol.

$578K Liq.

2

Ends em 7 meses

Who visited Epstein's Island?

Who visited Epstein's Island?

3%

Steve Bannon

$2M Vol.

$186K Liq.

129

Ends em 24 dias

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

32%

Steve Witkoff

$19.2K Vol.

$60.4K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

2%

Any U.S. House member

$406K Vol.

$80.0K Liq.

4

Ends em 24 dias

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

59%

Kash Patel

$1M Vol.

$63.1K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager

Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager

50%

Marco Silva

$9.9K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

50%

Javier Milei

$131K Vol.

$104K Liq.

18

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Serie A: Next Napoli Manager

Serie A: Next Napoli Manager

96%

Massimiliano Allegri

$332K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

4

Ends em 3 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Macro Fed.

Polymarket currently hosts 162 active markets for Macro Fed that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Macron out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.4B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Marco Cecchinato”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 30% chance to J.D. Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Macro Fed predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.