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ParalisaçãO Do Governo previsões e probabilidades

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Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

61%

$39 Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

81%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$326K Vol.

$43.2K Liq.

12

Ends em 5 meses

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

5%

$2.8K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

2%

$110K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

2

Ends em 15 dias

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

100%

July 31

$35M Vol.

$2M today

$462K Liq.

663

Ends em 15 dias

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

54%

December 31, 2026

$7.9K Vol.

$462 Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

51%

October 31

$150 Vol.

$352 Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

What price will Hyperliquid hit in June?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in June?

27%

↓ 52

$96.1K Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

Ends em 16 dias

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

13%

June 30

$165K Vol.

$404 Liq.

10

What price will Ethena hit in June?

What price will Ethena hit in June?

15%

↑ 0.12

$2.2K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends em 16 dias

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

42%

$13.9K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

White House # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

White House # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

44%

200+

$1.1K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

6%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$341K today

$99.2K Liq.

60

Ends em 16 dias

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

72%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$3.7K Vol.

$73.8K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

White House # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

White House # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

98%

200+

$44.2K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

46%

June 30

$423 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

4

Ends em 16 dias

White House # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

White House # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

91%

200+

$11.4K Vol.

$41.2K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

99%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$2M Vol.

$108K today

$227K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

13%

$19.1K Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

9

Ends em 7 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

74%

$615K Vol.

$41.5K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for ParalisaçãO Do Governo that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Government shutdown by October 1?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $42.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to July 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on ParalisaçãO Do Governo predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.